Cava Group’s stock extended its dramatic decline in overnight trading, plunging an additional 7.5% as investors reacted to disappointing quarterly results and another downward revision to the company’s guidance. The restaurant chain has faced persistent selling pressure for several consecutive trading sessions.
Financial Performance Falls Short
The company’s third-quarter earnings report revealed multiple areas of concern. Cava posted earnings of $0.12 per share, missing analyst projections of $0.13. Revenue also disappointed at $289.8 million, coming in below market expectations.
Perhaps most troubling was the performance of comparable-store sales, which increased by just 1.9% compared to anticipated growth of 2.8%. This key metric indicates weakening demand at existing locations.
Profitability metrics also deteriorated during the quarter:
* Restaurant-level profit margins contracted from 25.6% to 24.6%
* Increased costs for food ingredients and packaging materials weighed on results
* Tariffs affecting beef imports created additional financial pressure
Economic Headwinds Impact Core Demographic
Chief Executive Officer Brett Schulman pointed to challenging macroeconomic conditions as a primary factor behind the weak performance. He noted that younger consumers aged 25-35, who represent a significant portion of Cava’s customer base, are particularly sensitive to current economic pressures including rising living expenses, student loan obligations, and increasing housing costs.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Cava?
The broader restaurant industry continues to experience reduced customer traffic, with Cava feeling this trend acutely. Despite opening 17 new locations during the quarter, this expansion failed to offset the sluggish performance of established restaurants.
In response to these challenges, management revised its full-year guidance, now projecting comparable sales growth of just 3-4%, down from the previous forecast of 4-6%.
Analyst Community Responds to Deteriorating Outlook
Financial institutions quickly adjusted their assessments following the earnings release. UBS reduced its price target from $61 to $58, while Morgan Stanley cut its target more significantly from $95 to $86.
The current share price of $46.59 now sits substantially below the average analyst price target of $82.55, indicating widespread concern about the company’s near-term prospects.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stock remains firmly entrenched in a downward trend. Key resistance levels at $54.96 and $61.58 appear increasingly distant, leaving market participants questioning when the sustained decline might finally reach its conclusion.
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