After an extraordinary rally that propelled Centrus Energy shares to new annual peaks, the stock is now displaying signs of exhaustion. Despite recent price target upgrades from major financial institutions including UBS and Bank of America, the equity has faced substantial selling pressure—plummeting nearly 30% in the past month alone. This raises the question: is the nuclear sector’s standout performer approaching a significant trend reversal?
Quarterly Results Present Mixed Signals
The recent downward pressure coincides with the company’s third-quarter earnings report, which revealed contrasting performance metrics. Centrus Energy surpassed earnings per share expectations, reporting $0.19 compared to the projected $0.08. However, revenue figures told a different story, with the $74.9 million in sales falling short of analyst forecasts. This divergence highlights the company’s uneven delivery pattern and contract fulfillment schedule.
Even accounting for the recent correction, the broader performance picture remains striking. Year-to-date, the stock has advanced more than 200%, while the twelve-month gain approaches 183%. This remarkable appreciation has been fueled by the global nuclear energy renaissance and the United States’ initiative to establish domestic HALEU (High-Assay Low-Enriched Uranium) supply security.
Financial Institutions Maintain Bullish Outlook
Market experts at two leading banks recently affirmed their confidence in Centrus Energy’s long-term prospects. UBS raised its price objective to $245, while Bank of America’s analysis suggests a potential valuation of $285 per share. Their optimism stems from the structural shortage of uranium enrichment capacity in Western markets, positioning Centrus as a strategically valuable asset despite near-term price fluctuations.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Centrus Energy?
Analysts specifically point to Separative Work Units (SWU) pricing trends as a fundamental long-term growth catalyst. While current margins remain compressed due to legacy contracts signed at historically lower rates, the upcoming repricing of these agreements over the next several years could substantially enhance profitability.
Technical Positioning at Critical Juncture
From a technical analysis perspective, the stock has reached a decisive level. Following its retreat from October’s peak near $374, the shares are now testing support around the 200-day moving average. Market technicians suggest that reclaiming the $260 resistance zone would be necessary to reestablish an upward trajectory.
The contrasting recommendations from financial institutions—UBS maintains a neutral stance while Bank of America advocates buying—reflect the current market dichotomy. Although the investment thesis has strengthened, further price appreciation hinges critically on Centrus’s ability to secure new contracts at current elevated market rates. The timing and terms of future contract announcements will ultimately determine whether the nuclear sector’s standout performer can reignite its upward momentum.
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