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Is Palantir’s Sky-High Valuation Justified?

Robert Sasse by Robert Sasse
October 31, 2025
in Analysis, Earnings, Nasdaq, Tech & Software, Value & Growth
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With a staggering market capitalization exceeding $460 billion, data analytics firm Palantir now ranks among the twenty most valuable publicly traded companies in the United States. This remarkable achievement comes with an equally remarkable valuation metric: a price-to-earnings ratio of 623 that gives even seasoned market participants pause. As the company prepares to release third-quarter results on Monday, investors face a critical question—does the underlying business performance support such astronomical market pricing?

Wall Street’s Verdict: Cautious Optimism

The analyst community appears divided on Palantir’s prospects. Of the twenty-one market experts covering the stock, only four currently recommend purchasing shares. The majority—fourteen analysts—advise maintaining existing positions, while three suggest selling. This cautious stance is reflected in the average price target of $159, which sits substantially below the current trading level, signaling potential concerns about sustainability.

Short-seller Andrew Left has been particularly vocal in his criticism, describing the stock as “detached from fundamental business realities” and estimating its fair value at just $40 per share. The current P/E ratio even surpasses that of GameStop during its infamous 2020 short squeeze episode, highlighting the extreme nature of Palantir’s valuation.

Growth Metrics Under the Microscope

Market expectations for the upcoming earnings report are substantial. Analysts project third-quarter 2025 earnings per share of $0.17 alongside revenue of $1.1 billion. These figures would represent impressive year-over-year growth—70% for profits and 50.5% for sales. Given that Palantir currently trades at 93 times expected annual revenue, such robust expansion rates appear almost mandatory to justify the premium valuation.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Palantir?

The company’s revenue trajectory demonstrates remarkable momentum, climbing from $742.5 million in 2019 to $3.44 billion over the most recent twelve-month period. Key growth drivers include the Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) and the commercial customer segment, which surged 93% in the second quarter alone.

The Forecast Factor

Long-term projections from Wall Street anticipate revenue growth reaching $14.68 billion by 2029. Any deviation from these optimistic forecasts during the November 3rd earnings call could trigger significant market reactions. The coming report will reveal whether Palantir can continue to validate its extraordinary market valuation or if financial realities will finally temper investor enthusiasm.

The stock’s historical performance adds another layer of complexity—shares have delivered an astonishing 1,620% return over the past five years, creating enormous expectations for future results. With so much growth already priced in, the upcoming earnings announcement represents a crucial test for the data analytics giant.

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Robert Sasse

Robert Sasse

About Dr. Robert Sasse Accomplished economist, entrepreneur, and profound expert in financial markets. Dr. Robert Sasse holds a doctorate in economics and combines academic rigor with practical entrepreneurial experience. His deep expertise in economic relationships and unwavering conviction for a free-market liberal economic order drives his mission to provide investors with well-founded knowledge and guidance.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Economic Theory and Practice
  • Free-Market Economics
  • Entrepreneurship and Business Strategy
  • Investment Philosophy
Dr. Sasse's unique combination of academic knowledge and real-world business experience enables him to provide investors with comprehensive insights that bridge theory and practice.

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