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The Trade Desk Faces Mounting Pressure as Rivals Forge Strategic Alliance

Felix Baarz by Felix Baarz
September 18, 2025
in Analysis, E-Commerce, Mergers & Acquisitions, Nasdaq, Tech & Software
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The Trade Desk Stock
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A newly announced partnership between two tech behemoths has sent shockwaves through the advertising technology sector, creating significant headwinds for specialized player The Trade Desk. Amazon and Netflix revealed a strategic collaboration that will allow advertisers to purchase Netflix ad inventory directly through Amazon’s demand-side platform, commencing in the fourth quarter of this year.

This development strikes at the core of The Trade Desk’s business model, particularly within the highly profitable connected television advertising space. The alliance effectively creates a competing ecosystem for premium streaming ad placements, challenging The Trade Desk’s position in this critical growth market.

Market Reaction and Performance Concerns

Investors responded swiftly to the competitive threat. The company’s shares experienced a dramatic decline, shedding over 13% of their value within a single week. This performance puts The Trade Desk on track to potentially become one of the worst-performing stocks in the S&P 500 index for the year.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying The Trade Desk?

Beyond these external challenges, the company faces internal growth concerns that have further unsettled the market. While The Trade Desk reported strong second-quarter 2025 results with revenue climbing 19% to $694 million, the company’s own guidance for the third quarter projects a growth rate of approximately 14%. This noticeable deceleration has raised questions about the company’s near-term prospects.

Analyst Response and Financial Metrics

The growth forecast revision prompted immediate action from Wall Street analysts. Morgan Stanley adjusted its rating on the stock from “Overweight” to “Neutral” while simultaneously implementing a significant reduction in their price target. Financial metrics beyond revenue growth also showed signs of pressure, with the company’s adjusted EBITDA margin declining year-over-year from 41% to 39%.

These developments represent a critical test for the advertising technology specialist. After years of enjoying premium valuation multiples, The Trade Desk now confronts a dual challenge: increasingly powerful competition from industry giants and moderating internal growth momentum. How the company navigates this complex landscape will likely determine whether its stock can recover from its recent substantial decline.

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Felix Baarz

Felix Baarz

My name is Felix Baarz, and I look back on over fifteen years of experience as a business journalist. I have always been fascinated by the mechanisms and dynamics of global financial markets as well as the complex economic and political interconnections that shape our world. With this passion, I have made a name for myself as an expert on international financial markets and dedicate myself with great commitment to making even the most complex topics understandable and accessible to my readers. My roots lie in Cologne, where I was born and raised. Early on, my curiosity about economic topics and international developments sparked my interest in journalism. After completing my studies, I began my career as a business editor at a respected German trade publication. Here I laid the foundation for my professional career, but my curiosity soon drew me out into the wider world. A turning point in my life was moving to New York, where I lived for six years and gained insight into leading media houses. In this vibrant metropolis, I was able to report firsthand from the heart of the global financial world. From daily developments on Wall Street to major economic policy decisions that make waves worldwide, I had the opportunity to write about central topics that move people and markets alike. This time shaped my perspective and sharpened my view of global interconnections.

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