After a challenging start to 2025, Apple has mounted a powerful recovery, becoming the final major technology firm to re-enter positive territory. The remarkable turnaround has reignited bullish sentiment across the tech sector, prompting analysis of its underlying drivers and long-term viability.
Quarterly Results and China’s Role: The Next Test
The upcoming quarterly report on October 30th represents a critical milestone. It will reveal whether the initial surge in demand for the new iPhone generation has translated into sustained sales performance. A key factor in the recent optimism is Apple’s apparent comeback in the Chinese market. Despite intense competition from local rivals Huawei and Xiaomi, a new 15% government subsidy has provided significant support. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives identifies this development as the “linchpin” for the entire positive cycle, forecasting a return to growth after a prolonged period of stagnation.
Technical Breakout and Strategic Shifts Underpin Rally
From an investment perspective, Apple’s shares have demonstrated a significant technical breakthrough. The stock has climbed to over €217, approaching its yearly peak and decisively breaking through key resistance levels. The substantial trading volume accompanying this move indicates strong institutional interest, signaling that major investors are returning.
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This positive momentum marks a dramatic shift from the beginning of the year, when investors grappled with concerns over trade conflicts, tariff anxieties, and doubts about the company’s artificial intelligence roadmap. Strategic corporate actions have helped alleviate these worries. A deliberate shift of production capacity to India and Vietnam has reduced Apple’s reliance on China, while its high-margin Services division has continued to deliver record revenues, providing financial stability.
iPhone 17 Launch Fuels Optimism
The primary catalyst for the resurgence stems from the commercial reception of the new iPhone 17 series, launched on September 19. Early indicators strongly suggest a surprisingly robust upgrade cycle is underway. A telling signal of high initial demand is that delivery times for the new models have nearly doubled compared to their predecessors. While the standard base model has been exceptionally well-received, market observers are watching the premium “iPhone Air” model closely, as its shorter delivery windows might suggest a more tempered level of consumer excitement for the high-end offering.
The collective evidence points to a company that is far from reaching its peak; instead, Apple has demonstrated a formidable capacity for strategic adaptation and market renewal.
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