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Oracle Shares Plunge as Analyst Delivers Scathing Assessment

Dieter Jaworski by Dieter Jaworski
September 27, 2025
in Analysis, Mergers & Acquisitions, Nasdaq, Tech & Software
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Oracle Corporation finds itself in a steep decline, with its stock extending losses for a fourth consecutive session. The downturn follows a severe analyst critique questioning the company’s valuation, though a potential deal involving TikTok’s US operations offers a contrasting glimmer of hope.

Widespread Skepticism Weighs on Tech Giant

The selling pressure intensified after analysts at Rothschild Redburn initiated coverage on Oracle with a stark “Sell” recommendation. The firm issued a price target of just $175, a figure substantially below the stock’s current trading level. This pessimistic outlook is rooted in the belief that the market is overestimating the revenue potential and growth of Oracle’s cloud computing division.

This bearish sentiment is compounded by a broader shift in investor attitude toward AI-related stocks. The initial euphoria surrounding artificial intelligence is being replaced by a more critical examination of profitable business models and tangible returns. This trend was evident on Thursday when Oracle’s stock dropped 5.6%.

Key Points of Concern:
* The equity fell an additional 2.7% on Friday.
* The stock has now declined for four straight days.
* Rothschild’s $175 price target highlights fears of overvaluation.
* Apprehension surrounds the sustainability of cloud revenue growth.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Oracle?

Potential TikTok Partnership Offers a Contrasting Narrative

Amid the negative momentum, Oracle’s involvement in a high-profile deal presents a potential counterweight. The company is positioned to become the key cloud infrastructure and security provider for the US operations of TikTok. A consortium of American investors, which includes Oracle, is reportedly set to acquire a 45% stake in a newly formed entity that would oversee the popular video app’s activities in the United States.

However, significant uncertainty clouds this prospect. The transaction still awaits crucial approval from Chinese regulators. Whether this partnership can ultimately reverse Oracle’s current weak performance remains an open question.

A Divided Wall Street

The analyst community appears deeply split on Oracle’s true value, reflecting the overall market uncertainty. While Rothschild Redburn advocates selling the shares, Bernstein Research maintains a bullish “Outperform” rating. Bernstein’s contrasting price target of $364 presents a dramatic divergence from the negative assessment, underscoring the lack of consensus on the technology company’s appropriate market valuation.

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Tags: Oracle
Dieter Jaworski

Dieter Jaworski

About Dieter Jaworski From a numbers-obsessed child to creating his first investment newsletter. Even as a child, Dieter Jaworski's mother couldn't believe how fascinated he was with numbers. This early passion for mathematics and data analysis laid the foundation for a successful career in financial markets and investment analysis.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Financial Newsletter Publishing
  • Data-Driven Investment Strategies
  • Market Pattern Recognition
Dieter's unique approach combines his natural affinity for numbers with decades of market experience, providing investors with data-driven insights and practical investment strategies.

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