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ManpowerGroup Shares Face Headwinds as US Tech Hiring Momentum Slows

Robert Sasse by Robert Sasse
October 1, 2025
in Analysis, Earnings, Nasdaq, Tech & Software
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The staffing giant ManpowerGroup confronts challenging market conditions as the once-booming US technology labor sector shows signs of cooling. Despite this moderation, underlying demand for tech talent remains fundamentally strong. The company’s stock performance reflects these pressures, having declined more than 34% year-to-date.

Quarterly Hiring Outlook Reveals Sector Transition

Recent employment data indicates a measured deceleration in tech sector hiring intentions. The Net Employment Outlook for the US technology industry stands at 46% for the fourth quarter, representing a two-percentage point decrease from the previous quarter and a four-point drop compared to the same period last year.

Beneath these figures lies continued substantial demand: 58% of technology employers still anticipate increasing their workforce, while only 11% expect workforce reductions. This suggests not a contraction but rather a normalization from previously elevated levels.

Global comparisons reveal significant regional variations. Belgium leads international markets with a 52% hiring outlook, followed by India at 48% and Canada at 47%. The United States, despite its quarterly decline, maintains a substantial ten-point advantage over the global average of 36%, underscoring the continued relative strength of the American digital economy.

Artificial Intelligence Intensifies Talent Competition

The accelerating adoption of artificial intelligence technologies is exacerbating the competition for specialized digital skills. Nearly one-quarter (24%) of US employers report actively recruiting personnel specifically to keep pace with technological advancements.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying ManpowerGroup?

This strategic hiring faces significant obstacles:

  • 41% of organizations report difficulties attracting qualified candidates
  • 37% indicate urgent needs to enhance their candidate experience
  • 36% struggle to fill complex technical positions

The growing disconnect between required skills and available talent represents a structural challenge affecting the entire technology sector.

Market Performance Contrasts With Operational Metrics

ManpowerGroup shares currently trade around $37.90 following a minor daily decline of 0.47%. This modest movement obscures more substantial concerns: the stock has surrendered 34.34% of its value since January. The equity touched a 52-week low of $37.52 on September 17, representing an approximately 49% decline over the trailing twelve-month period.

Attention now turns to the company’s upcoming quarterly results scheduled for October 16. Market expectations remain divided following the previous quarter’s surprising $1.44 per share loss, which occurred alongside revenue growth to $4.52 billion. Management has provided third-quarter earnings per share guidance ranging between $0.77 and $0.87.

Analyst sentiment remains cautious. The consensus price target among five research firms sits at $48.40, accompanied by a “Hold” recommendation. The narrow target range between $46 and $50 suggests limited near-term appreciation potential, indicating sustained market skepticism about the company’s prospects.

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Robert Sasse

Robert Sasse

About Dr. Robert Sasse Accomplished economist, entrepreneur, and profound expert in financial markets. Dr. Robert Sasse holds a doctorate in economics and combines academic rigor with practical entrepreneurial experience. His deep expertise in economic relationships and unwavering conviction for a free-market liberal economic order drives his mission to provide investors with well-founded knowledge and guidance.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Economic Theory and Practice
  • Free-Market Economics
  • Entrepreneurship and Business Strategy
  • Investment Philosophy
Dr. Sasse's unique combination of academic knowledge and real-world business experience enables him to provide investors with comprehensive insights that bridge theory and practice.

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