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Home Analysis

Apple Faces Critical Test as Growth Engines Show Signs of Strain

Felix Baarz by Felix Baarz
October 4, 2025
in Analysis, Earnings, Nasdaq, Tech & Software
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The technology behemoth Apple Inc. finds itself navigating increasingly turbulent waters. Despite posting robust quarterly results recently, a chorus of concern is emerging from market analysts who point to mounting challenges. The central issue confronting investors is whether Apple can sustain its celebrated growth narrative in the face of these emerging headwinds.

Mixed Signals from the Analyst Community

The investment landscape for Apple shares is presenting a contradictory picture. While firms like Evercore ISI and CLSA reaffirm their “Outperform” ratings, and Seaport Res Ptn has gone a step further by upgrading its stance, a starkly different view has emerged from Jefferies. The investment bank delivered a severe assessment, downgrading Apple’s stock to “Underperform.” Its analysts contend that expectations for the upcoming iPhone 18 are excessively optimistic and are already fully reflected in the current share price. Jefferies expressed particular caution regarding the fiscal years 2026 and 2027, casting doubt on sales projections for a rumored foldable iPhone model and anticipating price increases for the iPhone 18 Pro versions.

In a more optimistic move, Morgan Stanley raised its price target, expressing confidence in the sales cycles for both the iPhone 17 and iPhone 18.

Services Slowdown and Internal Moves

Perhaps more alarming than the debate over future iPhones are the cracks appearing in Apple’s services division, a segment long viewed as a stable growth engine. Revenue growth from the App Store has decelerated sharply, falling to just 7 percent in September from 14 percent the previous month. This slowdown strikes at a core part of Apple’s strategy, which relies on its high-margin services business to offset the cyclical nature of its hardware sales.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Apple?

Adding to the climate of uncertainty, Senior Vice President Katherine Adams significantly reduced her stake in the company. She sold shares valued at approximately $12.1 million, decreasing her holdings by more than 20 percent.

Mounting Legal and Competitive Pressures

Compounding these internal and analyst challenges, Apple is confronting significant external legal threats. The company, alongside its partner OpenAI, is defending itself against a lawsuit filed by Elon Musk’s xAI. The litigation alleges that the App Store engages in anti-competitive practices.

The convergence of skeptical analyst outlooks, a decelerating services segment, high-level insider stock sales, and intensified legal scrutiny presents one of the most significant tests for the tech giant in recent years. The pivotal question remains: Can Apple successfully navigate these combined pressures and reaffirm its market-leading growth story?

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Tags: Apple
Felix Baarz

Felix Baarz

My name is Felix Baarz, and I look back on over fifteen years of experience as a business journalist. I have always been fascinated by the mechanisms and dynamics of global financial markets as well as the complex economic and political interconnections that shape our world. With this passion, I have made a name for myself as an expert on international financial markets and dedicate myself with great commitment to making even the most complex topics understandable and accessible to my readers. My roots lie in Cologne, where I was born and raised. Early on, my curiosity about economic topics and international developments sparked my interest in journalism. After completing my studies, I began my career as a business editor at a respected German trade publication. Here I laid the foundation for my professional career, but my curiosity soon drew me out into the wider world. A turning point in my life was moving to New York, where I lived for six years and gained insight into leading media houses. In this vibrant metropolis, I was able to report firsthand from the heart of the global financial world. From daily developments on Wall Street to major economic policy decisions that make waves worldwide, I had the opportunity to write about central topics that move people and markets alike. This time shaped my perspective and sharpened my view of global interconnections.

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