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Home Analysis

Southern Company: A Turning Point After Recent Declines?

Andreas Sommer by Andreas Sommer
December 15, 2025
in Analysis, Energy & Oil, S&P 500, Turnaround
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Shares of US utility giant Southern Company appear to be finding a floor following a significant downturn. The company’s long-term strategy, anchored by a multi-billion dollar infrastructure push, is moving forward as a crucial regulatory vote approaches, even as market experts offer mixed reviews.

A Pivotal Vote and a Massive Capital Plan

At the heart of Southern’s growth narrative is a substantial infrastructure initiative. Its subsidiary, Georgia Power, has secured a landmark agreement for the 2028-2031 period, which includes the certification of nearly 10,000 megawatts in new capacity. The company plans capital investments of approximately $16.3 billion for its own projects, with about $14 billion slated to flow between 2026 and 2029. This investment is primarily aimed at meeting the exploding electricity demand from data centers in the region. The final approval from Georgia’s regulatory commission is expected on December 19—a key date for the stock’s future trajectory.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Southern?

Divergent Views from the Analyst Community

Sentiment among market observers is divided. On one hand, firms including KeyBanc and RBC recently lowered their price targets for Southern, citing ongoing challenges. Conversely, a clear vote of confidence emerged on December 11, when one analyst upgraded the stock from “Hold” to “Buy.” The rationale cited was Southern’s surprisingly strong October quarterly results and expectations for a robust final quarter, buoyed by rising energy demand from data centers.

Long-Term Targets Amidst Persistent Risks

The utility reaffirms its long-term objective to grow earnings per share by 5 to 7 percent annually, supported by the expansion of its regulated networks. Furthermore, 2025 will see its induction into the circle of “Dividend Aristocrats,” underscoring its lengthy history of increasing payouts. However, the company continues to carry a substantial debt load and remains sensitive to interest rate changes. Its strategic focus on supplying data centers, which also involves investments in gas pipelines, introduces regulatory and environmental policy uncertainties. Currently trading roughly 17 percent below its yearly high, the equity demonstrates that any sustained recovery will hinge on the successful execution of its investment plans.

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Andreas Sommer

Andreas Sommer

About Andreas Sommer Over 40 years of expertise in market analysis, chart technical analysis, and strategic investment advisory. With more than four decades of experience in banking and financial journalism, Andreas Sommer is recognized as one of the leading analysts in the German-speaking market. His deep understanding of market dynamics and technical analysis has helped countless investors navigate complex financial markets.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Technical Chart Analysis
  • Strategic Investment Advisory
  • Market Trend Analysis
  • Financial Journalism
Andreas brings unparalleled insights from his extensive career in banking and financial markets, making him a trusted voice for investors seeking professional guidance.

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