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Home Analysis

LVMH Shares: A Market in Search of Equilibrium

Felix Baarz by Felix Baarz
December 22, 2025
in Analysis, Consumer & Luxury, Earnings, European Markets
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The era of unchecked expansion in the global luxury sector appears to be transitioning into a period of consolidation. At the forefront of this shift is LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton, whose diverse portfolio of brands exemplifies resilience amid economic uncertainty. The company continues to rely on its high-end segments, which cater to affluent clients, as a consistent source of strength.

Financial Performance Highlights

LVMH’s latest financial data reveals a nuanced picture of recovery across its business divisions. For the first nine months of 2025, the group reported total revenue of €58.1 billion. A key area of stability has been the Watches & Jewelry division, which posted a 1% organic sales increase during this period. This performance is largely attributed to the enduring appeal of Tiffany & Co. and the creative momentum at Bulgari, with this “hard luxury” category providing a valuation anchor.

The Selective Retailing segment emerged as the primary growth engine, achieving a 7% revenue increase in the third quarter. Similarly, the Perfumes & Cosmetics business saw organic growth of 2% in the same three-month period. Meanwhile, the previously pressured Fashion & Leather Goods division showed sequential improvement: its rate of decline moderated from 9% in Q2 to 2% in Q3.

Leadership and Strategic Initiatives

Alongside its operational developments, LVMH is making strategic leadership changes to secure the long-term future of its jewelry houses. The group recently confirmed the appointment of Laura Burdese as the new Chief Executive Officer of Bulgari. She succeeds Jean-Christophe Babin, who led the brand for over a decade and will now assume the roles of Chairman of Bulgari’s Board of Directors and CEO of the group’s hotel division.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying LVMH?

This executive transition coincides with an aggressive retail expansion strategy in Asia. The most recent example is the unveiling of “The Louis,” a flagship store in Shanghai designed to resemble a boat. Spanning 1,600 square meters, this multifaceted venue blends retail space, exhibition areas, and dining options, aiming to attract high-net-worth customers in China. This “retail-tainment” approach is designed to stimulate demand in a region that has recently shown signs of market stabilization.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Outlook

Investor sentiment toward LVMH shares reflects a cautious optimism, mirrored in the stock’s technical chart position. The equity is currently trading above its 200-day moving average, signaling a sustained upward trend since the autumn of 2025. Analyst opinions remain mixed. UBS has maintained a buy recommendation following the latest segment data, while Barclays cites cautious demand in European markets as a reason for its neutral rating. The average 12-month price target for the stock stands at €639.50, with the most optimistic forecasts reaching as high as €825.

Market attention is now firmly set on the forthcoming release of LVMH’s full-year 2025 results. The financial impact of currency fluctuations and the early performance metrics of the new Shanghai flagship store are expected to be significant factors influencing the stock’s valuation in the opening months of 2026.

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Felix Baarz

Felix Baarz

My name is Felix Baarz, and I look back on over fifteen years of experience as a business journalist. I have always been fascinated by the mechanisms and dynamics of global financial markets as well as the complex economic and political interconnections that shape our world. With this passion, I have made a name for myself as an expert on international financial markets and dedicate myself with great commitment to making even the most complex topics understandable and accessible to my readers. My roots lie in Cologne, where I was born and raised. Early on, my curiosity about economic topics and international developments sparked my interest in journalism. After completing my studies, I began my career as a business editor at a respected German trade publication. Here I laid the foundation for my professional career, but my curiosity soon drew me out into the wider world. A turning point in my life was moving to New York, where I lived for six years and gained insight into leading media houses. In this vibrant metropolis, I was able to report firsthand from the heart of the global financial world. From daily developments on Wall Street to major economic policy decisions that make waves worldwide, I had the opportunity to write about central topics that move people and markets alike. This time shaped my perspective and sharpened my view of global interconnections.

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