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Home Analysis

Almonty Shares Navigate a Pause After Meteoric Rise

Andreas Sommer by Andreas Sommer
January 3, 2026
in Analysis, Commodities, Penny Stocks, Trading & Momentum
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Following an extraordinary surge throughout 2025, Almonty Industries Inc. shares are experiencing a period of short-term pressure. The stock has now declined for four consecutive trading sessions, closing most recently at CAD 12.03, a drop of approximately 0.33%. This price action has pushed the equity below several key short-term moving averages, generating a technical sell signal that is being closely monitored by traders with a near-term focus.

The company’s valuation remains ambitious in the wake of last year’s performance. A staggering 840% rally in 2025 has propelled Almonty’s market capitalization to around US$1.98 billion. The current high volatility reflects a market that is still digesting this substantial re-rating.

Operational Momentum Continues Unabated

Despite the share price consolidation, operational progress continues at pace. In South Korea, the company’s flagship asset, the Sangdong tungsten mine, is in its ramp-up phase. Construction was largely finalized by the end of 2025, and the site is now transitioning from development to active production.

Concurrently, Almonty is working to broaden its commodity base. The Sangdong molybdenum project in Yeongwol represents a significant strategic diversification. A large-scale drilling program designed to define and expand the resource commenced in September 2025 and is proceeding in parallel with the tungsten mine’s commissioning.

The core operational pillars underpinning the current valuation are:
* Sangdong Tungsten Mine: Transitioning from development to production
* Sangdong Molybdenum Project: Ongoing drilling program initiated in Q3 2025
* U.S. Expansion: Integration of recently acquired projects in Montana

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Almonty?

This combination of imminent production and additional exploration potential forms the foundation for the powerful share price appreciation witnessed in recent months.

A Strengthened Financial Position

Executing multiple projects simultaneously demands robust financing—an area where Almonty made significant strides in 2025. The company raised US$112.5 million through an equity offering, supplemented by additional funds from its NASDAQ listing in July.

By the close of the third quarter in 2025, the cash position stood at approximately US$111.6 million. This liquidity provides the means to fund the completion of the Sangdong tungsten mine and the molybdenum exploration program without an immediate need for further capital raises. For long-term investors, this is a crucial detail, as it helps limit near-term dilution effects.

Looking Ahead: Consolidation and Future Catalysts

The present picture for Almonty stock is bifurcated: technically weakened in the short term, yet supported by a substantially expanded project portfolio. The 2025 rally has already priced in considerable success. The next phase will likely be determined by concrete production figures from Sangdong.

Further potential catalysts include results from the ongoing molybdenum drilling campaign and the integration of the Montana assets. Once the current period of market consolidation runs its course, these operational milestones will be key in deciding whether Almonty embarks on its next growth leg or whether its elevated valuation enters a phase of stabilization.

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Andreas Sommer

Andreas Sommer

About Andreas Sommer Over 40 years of expertise in market analysis, chart technical analysis, and strategic investment advisory. With more than four decades of experience in banking and financial journalism, Andreas Sommer is recognized as one of the leading analysts in the German-speaking market. His deep understanding of market dynamics and technical analysis has helped countless investors navigate complex financial markets.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Technical Chart Analysis
  • Strategic Investment Advisory
  • Market Trend Analysis
  • Financial Journalism
Andreas brings unparalleled insights from his extensive career in banking and financial markets, making him a trusted voice for investors seeking professional guidance.

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