Precious metals markets are experiencing a dramatic and historic liquidation. In a stunning reversal, silver prices collapsed by more than 30 percent last Friday, tumbling from record highs above $121 to below $80 per troy ounce. This represents the most severe single-day decline for the metal in over forty years, since 1980. The downward spiral continued into Monday’s trading session, with the commodity briefly trading between $70 and $75.
Gains accumulated over several months were erased in the span of just two trading days. Market strategists attribute the plunge to a brutal correction of speculative excess, a situation exacerbated by forced liquidations in the futures market.
Key Data Points:
* Friday’s trading saw silver shed over 30 percent of its value.
* The price dropped from above $121 to under $80.
* On Monday, the price trended lower, approaching $70.
* This is the most significant crash the metal has witnessed in four decades.
Dual Catalysts for the Precious Metals Rout
The aggressive sell-off is being driven by two concurrent factors. First, former President Donald Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve shocked investors on Friday. The markets are interpreting this potential appointment as a signal for tighter monetary policy and a stronger U.S. dollar—a traditionally negative environment for dollar-denominated assets like precious metals.
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Simultaneously, the CME Group announced a substantial increase in margin requirements for silver futures, raising them from 11 percent to 15 percent. This rule change takes effect after the close of trading on Monday. The hike forces many leveraged speculators to unwind their positions at a loss to meet the new, higher capital requirements, creating a wave of selling pressure.
Gold Follows Silver into a Dive
The turmoil is not confined to silver. The gold market also entered a freefall on Friday, crashing by more than 11 percent in its largest percentage drop since 2013. The gold price settled between $4,750 and $4,770 by the end of the session. Weakness persisted on Monday, with gold testing the $4,500 level during Asian trading hours.
Reports indicate that automated liquidations over the weekend wiped billions in value across commodity and cryptocurrency sectors. The U.S. dollar, meanwhile, has stabilized at elevated levels, adding further headwinds for raw materials. While physical dealers report sustained demand from certain buyers, the current market dynamic is dominated by the capitulation of speculative long positions.
A Pivotal Week for Market Direction
The immediate selling pressure may begin to ease once the new margin rules are in place. Nonetheless, market anxiety remains elevated. The broader focus for the week now shifts to major economic events: the European Central Bank’s interest rate decision on Thursday and the crucial U.S. employment data release on Friday. These events will be critical in confirming or dispelling expectations for a more hawkish monetary policy shift and determining whether silver can find a footing for stabilization.
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