Shares of Applied Digital reached a new 52-week peak of $17.61 in yesterday’s trading session. This surge follows a series of significant corporate developments, most notably the commencement of a multi-billion dollar AI data center construction project and a substantially expanded strategic partnership with CoreWeave.
Strategic Expansion and Market Response
The company’s ambitious growth strategy centers on its newly announced “Polaris Forge 2” initiative. Applied Digital plans to break ground on this $3 billion AI campus in North Dakota as early as September 2025. The facility is projected to feature an initial capacity of 280MW, with operations scheduled to commence in 2026 and full capacity expected by early 2027.
In a parallel development, the firm has significantly expanded its existing relationship with AI hyperscaler CoreWeave. A new lease agreement secures an additional 150MW at the Polaris Forge 1 campus. This expansion brings the total anticipated revenue from this partnership to approximately $11 billion, which includes the $7 billion agreement finalized back in May.
To fund these substantial expansion efforts, Applied Digital has doubled its Series G preferred stock offering to $300 million. These funds are specifically earmarked for the development of the Polaris Forge I data center complex.
Analyst Upgrades and Performance Metrics
Wall Street analysts have responded enthusiastically to these developments. H.C. Wainwright raised its price target from $15 to $20 while maintaining its “Buy” rating on the stock. The company’s market valuation now stands at $4.45 billion, with the stock demonstrating remarkable growth of 191.36% over the past twelve months.
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However, questions remain about the sustainability of this rally given the stock’s volatility profile. With a beta coefficient of 6.46, Applied Digital shares exhibit extreme price fluctuations relative to the broader market. The stock experienced a significant 25% correction earlier in September, partially driven by insider selling activity—including a $6.1 million sale by CEO Wes Cummins on September 3.
Risk Considerations and Future Outlook
Despite the impressive performance—the stock has gained 122% year-to-date in 2025—several risk factors warrant attention. The company’s price-to-sales ratio remains substantially above industry averages. Additional concerns center around customer concentration, as Applied Digital has historically relied heavily on single clients and is now building its high-performance computing hosting business primarily around CoreWeave.
Revised loss projections for fiscal year 2026 have also contributed to investor caution. The wide dispersion among analyst price targets reflects these differing assessments of the company’s risk profile.
Market participants are now closely monitoring the execution of Applied Digital’s expansion strategy. The immediate milestone involves the commencement of construction on the Polaris Forge 2 facility this month. Investors await the next quarterly report, scheduled for mid-October, which is expected to provide further details on financial performance and project development progress.
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