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Home Analysis

Applovin Shares Surge on S&P 500 Inclusion and Bullish Analyst Outlook

Andreas Sommer by Andreas Sommer
September 13, 2025
in Analysis, S&P 500, Tech & Software
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Applovin shares continued their remarkable ascent, propelled by a significant price target increase and the company’s imminent addition to the S&P 500 index. The stock reached a fresh peak as trading concluded for the week.

Fundamental Strength Underpins Market Optimism

The rally is fundamentally supported by Applovin’s impressive operational performance. The company’s strategic pivot away from its unprofitable app business is yielding substantial results. A renewed focus on its software platform drove exceptional second-quarter 2025 results, with revenue surging 77% year-over-year, significantly surpassing market expectations.

Central to this growth is the AI-powered advertising platform AXON 2.0. Its expansion beyond the gaming sector—particularly into e-commerce—represents considerable future potential.

Wedbush Raises Target to $725

Market experts at Wedbush provided significant momentum by elevating their price objective by a substantial 17%, from $620 to $725. The firm maintained its “Outperform” rating on the equity, citing robust growth within Applovin’s gaming and e-commerce client segments. The market responded immediately to this vote of confidence, with shares advancing nearly 2% to approximately $582.

This gain capped an extraordinary week of trading that saw the stock achieve cumulative gains approaching 19%.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Applovin?

Index Inclusion Drives Institutional Interest

The primary catalyst for the current rally remains Applovin’s scheduled inclusion in the S&P 500 on September 22. This development has energized market participants, as it will automatically trigger substantial capital flows from index-tracking funds. The inclusion effectively transforms Applovin into a viable investment option for numerous institutional portfolios.

The critical question remains whether entry into this elite index will generate the anticipated demand surge.

Upcoming Catalysts

Applovin faces a busy schedule of potential market-moving events:
* September 22: Official S&P 500 inclusion
* October 1: Launch of the self-serve tool for its advertising platform
* Early November: Next quarterly earnings release

Expectations are elevated. The market will be watching closely to see if Applovin can successfully translate its current momentum into concrete financial results.

Key Data Points:
* Wedbush Price Target: $725 (+17%)
* Q2 Revenue Growth: +77% year-over-year
* Q3 Revenue Guidance: $1.32 – $1.34 billion

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Tags: Applovin
Andreas Sommer

Andreas Sommer

About Andreas Sommer Over 40 years of expertise in market analysis, chart technical analysis, and strategic investment advisory. With more than four decades of experience in banking and financial journalism, Andreas Sommer is recognized as one of the leading analysts in the German-speaking market. His deep understanding of market dynamics and technical analysis has helped countless investors navigate complex financial markets.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Technical Chart Analysis
  • Strategic Investment Advisory
  • Market Trend Analysis
  • Financial Journalism
Andreas brings unparalleled insights from his extensive career in banking and financial markets, making him a trusted voice for investors seeking professional guidance.

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