Bloom Energy’s stock performance in 2025 has been nothing short of spectacular, delivering gains that have captured the attention of even seasoned market participants. Since the start of the year, the share price surged by more than 300 percent. This dramatic ascent has been fueled primarily by soaring demand for energy solutions to power artificial intelligence (AI) data centers. However, a significant correction has taken hold since the stock peaked near $148 in November, with shares shedding over 40 percent of their value. This sharp decline is prompting investors to question whether the current valuation can be sustained.
Record Fundamentals Meet Lofty Valuation
The company’s operational results present a strong fundamental picture. For the third quarter of 2025, Bloom Energy reported impressive figures:
– Revenue of $519 million, representing a 57 percent increase year-over-year.
– This marked the company’s fourth consecutive record quarter.
– It generated an operating profit of $7.8 million, a notable improvement from an operating loss of $9.7 million in the prior-year period.
– The business also produced positive cash flow from operations.
Bloom Energy has installed approximately 1.5 gigawatts of its energy servers across 1,200 sites in six countries. Management anticipates production capacity will reach two gigawatts by the end of 2026, with a pathway to scale to five gigawatts.
Despite these robust operational metrics, the valuation raises eyebrows. With a market capitalization of $21.6 billion, the price-to-earnings ratio based on the last twelve months exceeds 1,000. Furthermore, the stock’s beta of 3.01 signals extreme volatility relative to the broader market.
Major Deals and a Key Setback
The company has announced several high-profile partnerships that underpin its growth narrative in AI infrastructure. These include a $5 billion agreement with Brookfield Asset Management and collaborative projects with Oracle and Equinix totaling more than 100 megawatts of capacity. The Brookfield deal alone has the potential to expand to one gigawatt.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Bloom Energy?
However, a recent development has introduced a note of caution. Blue Owl Capital, a primary financier for Oracle, withdrew from a planned $10 billion project in Michigan. This move has led market observers to scrutinize the actual pace of AI infrastructure rollout—the very trend that has propelled Bloom Energy’s stock higher.
Market Sentiment Shifts from Euphoria to Scrutiny
Indicators from the options market reflect growing investor unease. The implied volatility for Bloom Energy options has climbed to unusually elevated levels. Notably, call options for January 2026 are pricing in substantial price swings. Concurrently, three separate analysts have revised their earnings expectations for the current quarter downward, from 33 cents to 25 cents per share.
This combination suggests increasing uncertainty about the near-term trajectory. While the long-term opportunity is substantial—U.S. data center power capacity is projected to potentially grow from 25 gigawatts to 106 gigawatts by 2035—the market is now applying more critical scrutiny. Bloom Energy, with its solid oxide fuel cell technology, is positioned to address this market, distinguishing it from purely speculative AI plays.
The extreme trading range between its 52-week low of $15 and high of $148 underscores the stock’s speculative characteristics. The recent pullback indicates that initial euphoria is being tempered by a more measured assessment of how quickly the anticipated AI infrastructure boom will materialize into sustained financial results.
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