DeFi Technologies finds itself navigating turbulent waters following a substantial reduction in its revenue outlook and a sharp drop in its share price. The situation has been compounded by several U.S. law firms alerting investors to an ongoing class action lawsuit alleging the company made misleading statements. With a critical deadline for lead plaintiff applications approaching, scrutiny on the firm’s leadership is intensifying.
Leadership Change and Market Uncertainty
Adding to the company’s challenges was a simultaneous announcement of a leadership transition alongside its third-quarter results. Olivier Roussy Newton stepped down from his roles as Chief Executive Officer and Chairman. He was succeeded by company co-founder Johan Wattenström.
Newton transitioned to a Strategic Advisor role and remains a significant shareholder. The dual announcement of a drastically lowered forecast and a CEO change within the same period significantly amplified investor unease and market uncertainty.
The Core of the Legal Allegations
Multiple specialized law firms, including Levi & Korsinsky, Robbins LLP, and DiCello Levitt, have recently published notices regarding the securities class action. The suit focuses on the period between May 12, 2025, and November 14, 2025. Gross Law Firm is among those reminding investors that the deadline to apply as a lead plaintiff is January 30, 2026.
The allegations center on several serious claims against the company’s management:
* Delays in implementing the DeFi Alpha arbitrage strategy, a key projected revenue driver.
* Providing an insufficient portrayal of the competitive landscape within the digital treasury solutions sector.
* Alleged prior knowledge that the original 2025 revenue forecast of $218.6 million was unlikely to be achieved.
* Downplaying operational issues that negatively impacted business performance.
A Drastic Forecast Revision Triggers Fallout
The catalyst for the legal action was the company’s financial release on November 14, 2025. During that update, DeFi Technologies slashed its full-year 2025 revenue guidance by approximately 47%, revising it down from $218.6 million to $116.6 million.
Management cited three primary reasons for this significant downward revision:
1. Delays in realizing previously forecasted DeFi Alpha arbitrage opportunities.
2. A notable increase in competitor activity within the digital asset treasury space.
3. Reduced volatility in digital asset prices during the second half of 2025.
Q3 2025 Results Reflect Mounting Pressure
The financial results for the third quarter, ending September 30, 2025, highlighted the difficult operating environment:
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- Revenue: $22.5 million (compared to $28.1 million in Q3 2024)
- Operating Income: $9.0 million (compared to $14.4 million in Q3 2024)
- Cash and Cash Equivalents: $119.5 million
- Digital Asset Treasury: $46.2 million
- Total Treasury Position: $165.7 million
The declining performance in the core business segment has markedly altered the market’s perception of the company.
Severe Market Reaction and Analyst Adjustments
The equity market reacted strongly to the November announcements. After a preliminary disclosure on November 6, 2025, the company’s shares declined by 7.43%. Following the full Q3 report on November 14, the stock fell an additional 27.59% over two trading sessions.
For investors who have held shares since the company’s Nasdaq listing in May 2025, the cumulative decline now stands at roughly 67%.
In response, market analysts revised their financial models:
* Benchmark reduced its price target from $8 to $3, while maintaining a “Buy” rating.
* Northland Capital Markets cut its target from $5 to $2.50.
These adjusted targets primarily reflect expectations of diminished arbitrage opportunities and heightened competition in the digital asset treasury market.
Valour Subsidiary Provides a Counterbalance
A measure of stability for DeFi Technologies comes from its asset management subsidiary, Valour. Assets under management (AUM) grew to $989.1 million as of September 30, 2025, up from $772.9 million at the end of June.
During the third quarter, Valour generated:
* $7.4 million in staking and lending revenue.
* $2.8 million in management fees.
This revenue stream acts as a partial buffer against the headwinds facing the core DeFi Alpha business. The company’s future trajectory will largely depend on its ability to resolve its operational challenges and successfully reactivate its arbitrage strategies within an increasingly competitive landscape.
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