Eli Lilly has become the first pharmaceutical company in history to achieve a market capitalization exceeding one trillion dollars. This landmark accomplishment is fueled by extraordinary demand for its weight-loss medications, positioning the firm significantly ahead of industry competitors. The critical question for investors is whether this valuation is sustainable or if a market correction is imminent. A deep dive into the latest financial performance provides compelling clarity.
Exceptional Financial Performance Exceeds Forecasts
The company’s most recent quarterly report delivers a powerful fundamental justification for its stock rally. Eli Lilly announced a remarkable 54% surge in third-quarter revenue, reaching $17.60 billion. This performance effectively distances the company from rivals, some of whom continue to grapple with manufacturing constraints.
This explosive growth is primarily attributed to two blockbuster products:
* Mounjaro: Sales for this medication more than doubled, climbing to $6.52 billion, a 109% increase.
* Zepbound: Revenue from this treatment soared to $3.59 billion, representing a massive 184% gain.
In response to this powerful momentum, management has proactively raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance for the second time. The company now anticipates sales to reach as high as $63.5 billion.
Valuation Remains Grounded Amid Record Highs
Despite reaching a historic milestone and trading near its all-time peak, the stock does not appear excessively overvalued. The rationale is straightforward: corporate profits are currently expanding at a faster rate than the share price.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Eli Lilly?
Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $7.02, substantially outperforming analyst expectations. Consequently, the forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has declined to approximately 33.9. For shareholders, this indicates that the valuation has effectively “normalized” through operational growth, standing far removed from the triple-digit multiples seen in prior years. The market is therefore pricing in sustainable double-digit growth rather than speculative excess.
The Next Potential Market Disruptor
For those assuming the company’s potential is fully realized with its current injectable treatments, Eli Lilly’s innovation pipeline suggests otherwise. A new candidate, “Orforglipron,” is poised to be the next major advancement.
Phase 3 clinical trial data indicates that this oral tablet can achieve weight loss comparable to the existing injectable therapies. This could revolutionize the mass market by eliminating the need for needles and complex cold-chain logistics. Global regulatory applications for this oral alternative are expected to be filed before the end of this year.
While the stock currently trades just shy of its 52-week high, the long-term upward trajectory seems well-supported by a robust product pipeline and clear market leadership. Eli Lilly shows no signs of complacency following its trillion-dollar valuation, instead continuing to aggressively pursue further growth opportunities.
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