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Garrett Motion Shares Approach Record Territory

Robert Sasse by Robert Sasse
January 17, 2026
in Analysis, Automotive & E-Mobility, Earnings, Trading & Momentum
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Garrett Motion Inc. shares are trading near their highest level in a year, with investors looking ahead to the company’s upcoming earnings report to see if the momentum can be sustained.

The stock recently touched a 52-week peak of $18.76 and is currently hovering around $18.74. This price represents a staggering gain of approximately 107.4% over the past twelve months. The equity is trading well above its key moving averages, notably the 50-day average of $17.07 and the 200-day average of $14.39.

Financial Metrics and Valuation

From a valuation perspective, Garrett Motion appears reasonably priced. The company sports a market capitalization of $3.49 billion. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 11.87, while its price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is a notably low 0.2. This PEG figure suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its expected earnings growth.

Capital Return Strategy

A significant focus for the company is returning capital to shareholders. Garrett Motion recently raised its quarterly dividend to $0.08 per share, which annualizes to $0.32 and yields about 1.7%. Furthermore, on January 1, 2026, the company initiated a substantial $250 million share repurchase program. This authorization could allow for the buyback of up to roughly 7.7% of its outstanding shares. Management has outlined a long-term policy to return approximately 75% of its adjusted free cash flow to investors. Such aggressive buyback programs are typically viewed as a strong signal of management’s confidence in the firm’s intrinsic value and future prospects.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Garrett Motion?

Institutional Activity and Analyst Sentiment

While the corporate actions are bullish, recent filings show a pattern of selling by some major institutional holders. For instance, Cyrus Capital Partners reduced its position by 613,403 shares in September 2025 at an average price of $13.26. This followed earlier sales of approximately 175,695 shares (worth around $2.3 million) in July 2025 and about 1,902,441 shares (worth roughly $17.2 million) in April 2025. These moves likely reflect portfolio rebalancing by large investors, but they provide an interesting counterpoint to the stock’s powerful rally.

Analyst coverage, however, remains largely favorable. The consensus rating among market experts is a “Moderate Buy,” derived from five “Buy” recommendations and two “Hold” ratings. The average price target is $18.80. Several firms have recently lifted their targets: JPMorgan reiterated an Overweight rating with a $23 target, Stifel set a $21 target, and BWS Financial raised its target from $18 to $22. In its note, BWS highlighted the enduring importance of internal combustion engines in the European market. Many researchers now see reduced headwinds for Garrett’s core combustion engine business and anticipate potential tailwinds from a slower-than-expected adoption rate for electric vehicles.

Upcoming Catalyst and Outlook

The next major catalyst for the stock is the scheduled release of fourth-quarter 2025 results before the U.S. market opens on Thursday, February 19, 2026. The financial community will be scrutinizing the report for confirmation of improvements in revenue, profit margins, and free cash flow. Strong results could provide further support for earnings per share, especially aided by the ongoing share repurchase plan. Conversely, should the key metrics disappoint, it could prompt analysts to revise their estimates downward.

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Robert Sasse

Robert Sasse

About Dr. Robert Sasse Accomplished economist, entrepreneur, and profound expert in financial markets. Dr. Robert Sasse holds a doctorate in economics and combines academic rigor with practical entrepreneurial experience. His deep expertise in economic relationships and unwavering conviction for a free-market liberal economic order drives his mission to provide investors with well-founded knowledge and guidance.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Economic Theory and Practice
  • Free-Market Economics
  • Entrepreneurship and Business Strategy
  • Investment Philosophy
Dr. Sasse's unique combination of academic knowledge and real-world business experience enables him to provide investors with comprehensive insights that bridge theory and practice.

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