A seismic shift may be underway for the US semiconductor giant Intel. Following a prolonged struggle to secure significant foundry contracts, speculative reports of a potential alliance with Apple have ignited a powerful rally in its stock. The market’s enthusiastic response raises a pivotal question: does this signal Intel’s decisive breakthrough against formidable Asian competitors, or is the current optimism premature?
Market Reaction and Performance
Trading activity on the abbreviated Black Friday session was exceptionally volatile. Intel’s stock experienced a dramatic surge, closing at €35.16 after an impressive single-day gain of 11.91 percent. Trading volumes exploded, far exceeding the daily average.
This powerful upswing represents the culmination of a substantial recovery already in progress. Since the beginning of the year, Intel shares have recorded gains exceeding 78 percent, bringing them close to their 52-week high of €35.66.
The Analyst Report Fueling Optimism
The catalyst for this buying frenzy is an analysis from TF International Securities’ renowned market expert, Ming-Chi Kuo. His research indicates a strong probability that Intel will become a manufacturing partner for Apple’s proprietary processors, specifically those in its M-series.
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Should this materialize, it would mark a significant industry inflection point. Apple has historically relied almost exclusively on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) for its advanced chips. The mere consideration of Intel as a “second source” for its production needs is sending shockwaves through the technology sector.
Strategic Implications of a Landmark Deal
The potential agreement carries profound strategic weight and could redefine Intel’s future trajectory. Key details under consideration include:
- Technology: Reports indicate Apple has already received the design kit for Intel’s cutting-edge “18A” manufacturing process.
- Timeline: Volume production is anticipated to commence in either the second or third quarter of 2027.
- Scale: The deal could encompass an estimated 15 to 20 million units annually, primarily for entry-level models of devices like the MacBook Air and iPad Pro.
For Intel, securing Apple as a client would serve as the ultimate validation of its ambitious “IDM 2.0” strategy to open its fabrication plants to external customers. As one of the most demanding customers globally, a partnership with Apple would send an undeniable signal of technical competence to the broader market. Furthermore, it aligns perfectly with geopolitical trends favoring a “Made in USA” supply chain.
Conclusion: A Shift in Sentiment
Market sentiment toward Intel has transformed abruptly. While any potential revenue from an Apple partnership remains at least two years away, the symbolic value of this potential endorsement currently outweighs concerns over ongoing legal disputes with competitors. Investor focus is now firmly fixed on the revenue potential of the Apple pipeline. The market awaits an official confirmation with bated breath, and until then, Intel shares are likely to remain highly volatile.
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