IREN’s stock demonstrated notable resilience at the week’s close, staging a powerful recovery. The turnaround was sparked by positive developments elsewhere in the industry, effectively countering earlier cautious analyst commentary from Goldman Sachs. Renewed investor confidence in the AI infrastructure sector fueled the buying activity.
A Sector-Wide Signal Lifts All Boats
The primary catalyst for the sudden shift in sentiment originated from a competitor. Applied Digital (APLD) announced it had secured a successful financing agreement with Macquarie Group for new data center projects. Market observers interpreted this development as a crucial indicator that capital markets remain receptive to funding the expansion of AI infrastructure.
This news triggered a broad sympathy rally across the sector. Concerns about potential funding shortages within the industry diminished, and IREN benefited substantially. By the closing bell on Friday, the share price settled at €33.98, marking a single-day advance of 11.32%. This surge nearly erased the selling pressure that had built up in preceding sessions.
Cautious Analyst Initiation Temporarily Dampens Mood
Prior to Friday’s trading, a new research note from Goldman Sachs had introduced a note of caution. The investment bank initiated its coverage of IREN on December 18 with a “Neutral” rating, attaching a price target of $39.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying IREN?
Analyst Michael Ng acknowledged the company’s significant growth potential—with revenue projected to surge from $501 million in fiscal 2025 to $3.8 billion by 2028. However, he expressed valuation concerns. When compared to established players like Equinix, the shares already appear “relatively fully valued,” according to the analysis. This assessment prompted a brief period of profit-taking before the positive industry news reversed the direction.
Execution of Core Agreements in Focus
Fundamentally, attention now turns to the execution of the company’s strategic plans. Central to the growth narrative remains the $9.7 billion contract with Microsoft. To finance the necessary hardware for this deal and to repay existing debt, IREN recently raised $2.3 billion in capital. While this move caused short-term dilution for existing shareholders, it secures the essential liquidity required for the firm’s aggressive expansion strategy.
Technical and Operational Hurdles Ahead
As the new trading week begins, the $39 level—which aligns precisely with Goldman Sachs’s price target—is likely to serve as a technical resistance point. For investors, the timely progress of the Childress, Texas site expansion will be a critical watchpoint. Since the deployment of GPUs for the Microsoft contract is the principal driver of future earnings, any delays or advancements in this project will significantly influence the share price trajectory.
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