A series of price target upgrades in mid-January has bolstered confidence in the financial data provider MSCI. Market strategists point to accelerating subscription growth, underpinned by the firm’s resilient recurring revenue model. The upcoming quarterly results will be a key test for this optimistic sentiment.
Key Data Points:
* Recent Share Price: The stock closed at $594.79 in the last session, marking a gain of 1.25%.
* Upcoming Report: MSCI is scheduled to release its Q4 and full-year 2025 financial figures before the market opens on Wednesday, January 28. A conference call for investors is set for 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time.
* Earnings Forecast: The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings per share (EPS) stands at $4.59.
* Analyst Price Target: The average 12-month price target among covering analysts is $650.13.
* One-Year Performance: Over the past twelve months, the share price has declined by 1.96%.
A Wave of Upgraded Forecasts
The positive shift in analyst outlook is evidenced by several specific actions. On January 13, Raymond James increased its target price to $690 from $680, reaffirming its “Outperform” rating on the equity. The following day, Wells Fargo raised its target to $590, up from $570, while maintaining an “Equalweight” stance. This adjustment suggests an improved view of the company’s fundamentals without a change in the overall recommendation.
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Supporting this view, RBC Capital Markets highlighted in mid-January that MSCI is demonstrating building momentum in its subscription business. The firm sees this as creating a solid foundation for future recurring income streams. Collectively, these revisions indicate a broad-based reassessment of the company’s growth trajectory, with multiple researchers anticipating a medium-term reacceleration of subscription growth into double-digit percentages.
All Eyes on the January 28 Earnings Release
The immediate focus for investors is squarely on the fourth-quarter report due at the end of January. The consensus EPS expectation of $4.59 will serve as a benchmark. More critically, the market will scrutinize whether the reported figures reflect the anticipated subscription momentum and what guidance management provides for the coming periods.
Should the results meet or exceed expectations and confirm an acceleration in subscription growth, the current optimistic analyst stance and elevated price targets are likely to be validated. Conversely, if the earnings disappoint or MSCI reports weaker subscriber metrics, a downward revision of targets and a recalibration of growth expectations would be a probable outcome. The report will ultimately determine if the recent analyst confidence is well-founded.
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