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Home Market Commentary

Netflix Shares Tumble Amid Acquisition Speculation

Felix Baarz by Felix Baarz
November 21, 2025
in Market Commentary, Mergers & Acquisitions, Nasdaq, Tech & Software
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Netflix finds itself navigating turbulent market conditions once again. Following its recent stock split, the streaming titan now faces significant volatility over reports of a potential mega-merger with Warner Bros. Discovery. This development has triggered widespread investor apprehension rather than enthusiasm, leaving market participants questioning whether this represents a strategic masterstroke or an overambitious gamble that could strain the company’s financial resources.

Market Reaction and Technical Pressure

The market delivered a clear verdict on the speculation, sending Netflix shares down nearly 4% to $105.67 in Thursday’s trading session. This decline compounds existing pressure from the company’s recent 10-for-1 stock split, which has failed to generate sustained positive momentum.

The technical picture reveals concerning trends:
* Post-Split Performance: Since the split took effect last Monday, the equity has surrendered approximately 15% of its value.
* Psychological Level: The stock is now testing the critical $100 support level, a threshold closely watched by technical analysts.
* Market Sentiment: The pattern reflects a classic “sell the news” scenario, exacerbated by uncertainty surrounding major acquisition plans.

The June peak of over $134 (on a split-adjusted basis) now appears distant, confirming a short-term corrective phase for the shares.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Netflix?

Strategic Dilemma: Content Power vs. Financial Strain

Late Thursday reports indicated that Netflix has prepared a preliminary, non-binding offer for media conglomerate Warner Bros. Discovery. Such a transaction would fundamentally reshape the media landscape by uniting Netflix’s dominant distribution platform with Warner’s vast content library.

Investor anxiety stems from several substantial risks embedded in this potential deal. A merger of this magnitude would inevitably attract intense regulatory scrutiny from antitrust authorities worldwide. Furthermore, the massive capital outlay required raises concerns about financial overextension, marking a sharp departure from Netflix’s historical emphasis on organic growth and smaller, strategic acquisitions.

Analyst Perspectives and Critical Thresholds

Despite the market’s negative reaction, analytical opinions present a more nuanced outlook. Canaccord Genuity adjusted its price target downward to $152.50, while MoffettNathanson maintained a bullish $140 target, emphasizing the company’s long-term value proposition.

From a chart analysis perspective, the situation appears precarious. The current test of the $100 support level represents a critical technical juncture. A decisive break below this level could potentially trigger a deeper decline toward the 52-week low around $82. The coming trading sessions will prove decisive, particularly if rumors regarding Warner Bros. Discovery solidify into confirmed negotiations, which would likely inject additional volatility into the stock.

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Felix Baarz

Felix Baarz

My name is Felix Baarz, and I look back on over fifteen years of experience as a business journalist. I have always been fascinated by the mechanisms and dynamics of global financial markets as well as the complex economic and political interconnections that shape our world. With this passion, I have made a name for myself as an expert on international financial markets and dedicate myself with great commitment to making even the most complex topics understandable and accessible to my readers. My roots lie in Cologne, where I was born and raised. Early on, my curiosity about economic topics and international developments sparked my interest in journalism. After completing my studies, I began my career as a business editor at a respected German trade publication. Here I laid the foundation for my professional career, but my curiosity soon drew me out into the wider world. A turning point in my life was moving to New York, where I lived for six years and gained insight into leading media houses. In this vibrant metropolis, I was able to report firsthand from the heart of the global financial world. From daily developments on Wall Street to major economic policy decisions that make waves worldwide, I had the opportunity to write about central topics that move people and markets alike. This time shaped my perspective and sharpened my view of global interconnections.

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