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Home Asian Markets

Nio’s Growth Paradox: Record Deliveries Clash With Profitability Concerns

Dieter Jaworski by Dieter Jaworski
October 9, 2025
in Asian Markets, Automotive & E-Mobility, Earnings, Value & Growth
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Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer Nio is demonstrating impressive delivery growth, yet this expansion comes with significant financial challenges that give investors pause. The company’s latest performance metrics reveal a complex narrative where soaring vehicle shipments contrast sharply with mounting questions about sustainable profitability.

Analyst Caution Tempers Enthusiasm

Not all market observers share the prevailing optimism surrounding Nio’s recent achievements. HSBC Global Research issued a sobering assessment that highlights structural concerns within the company’s operations. While acknowledging the sales momentum generated by new vehicle models, the financial institution believes these positive developments are already reflected in the current share price.

The core challenges identified by analysts stem from intense competition within China’s EV sector, which continues to undermine Nio’s pricing flexibility. Simultaneously, the company faces pressure from a rigid cost framework that squeezes profit margins. Consequently, HSBC maintained its “Hold” rating on the stock, presenting a cautious perspective amid the celebratory delivery numbers.

Quarterly Performance Sets New Benchmarks

Nio’s operational metrics for the third quarter would delight any investor: the company delivered 87,071 vehicles, representing a substantial 40.8 percent increase compared to the same period last year. September proved particularly noteworthy, with 34,749 units delivered—setting a new monthly record for the automaker.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Nio?

This impressive growth trajectory has been primarily fueled by the introduction of Nio’s more affordable sub-brands, ONVO and FIREFLY, which have significantly expanded the company’s customer base and market reach.

Market Reaction Reflects Mixed Sentiment

The financial markets have responded with measured enthusiasm to Nio’s operational achievements. Following a brief downturn on Tuesday—likely driven by profit-taking activities—the company’s shares demonstrated noticeable recovery during Wednesday’s trading session. The record-breaking delivery figures appear to have temporarily overshadowed concerns about the company’s long-term growth narrative.

Profitability Metrics Raise Concerns

Underlying financial data provides substance to skeptical viewpoints. During the second quarter of 2025, Nio’s vehicle margin declined to 10.3 percent, down from 12.2 percent in the corresponding period the previous year. This contraction stems directly from the company’s strategic pivot toward more budget-friendly models—a double-edged approach where increased volume doesn’t automatically translate to improved profitability.

The critical question that remains unanswered is whether Nio can successfully balance its ambitious delivery targets with maintaining healthy profit margins. The company’s upcoming quarterly results, scheduled for release around November 19, will provide crucial insight into whether growth alone can sustain the business long-term, or if profitability must ultimately take precedence for lasting success.

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Tags: NIO
Dieter Jaworski

Dieter Jaworski

About Dieter Jaworski From a numbers-obsessed child to creating his first investment newsletter. Even as a child, Dieter Jaworski's mother couldn't believe how fascinated he was with numbers. This early passion for mathematics and data analysis laid the foundation for a successful career in financial markets and investment analysis.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Financial Newsletter Publishing
  • Data-Driven Investment Strategies
  • Market Pattern Recognition
Dieter's unique approach combines his natural affinity for numbers with decades of market experience, providing investors with data-driven insights and practical investment strategies.

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