All eyes are on OMV as it prepares to release its full-year 2025 results on February 4, 2026. Following a recent trading update, market expectations have been recalibrated, with investors bracing for the impact of significant non-cash impairments and lower production volumes. The forthcoming report will be scrutinized for how these factors shaped the annual performance and, more importantly, what guidance management provides for the year ahead.
Operational Headwinds: Weaker Prices and Reduced Output
The final quarter of 2025 presented a challenging operational landscape for the energy group. Average daily production fell to 300,000 barrels of oil equivalent (boe), marking a sequential decline from 304,000 boe per day in Q3 and a more substantial drop from the 337,000 boe per day recorded in the same period last year.
Compounding the volume decline was a softer pricing environment. The average Brent crude price for Q4 2025 was $63.73 per barrel, down from $69.13 in the previous quarter. OMV’s realized crude oil price came in at $62.4 per barrel. The company’s average realized natural gas price also decreased to 26.4 euros per megawatt-hour. This combination of lower volumes and weaker prices sets a critical backdrop for the upcoming earnings release.
A Closer Look at the €700 Million Impairment Charge
In mid-January, OMV signaled substantial financial adjustments for its fourth quarter. The company anticipates non-cash, pre-tax impairment and value adjustments of approximately €700 million. A primary driver is reduced production in several key regions, specifically Romania, Tunisia, and New Zealand.
Further adjustments relate to remediation obligations linked to extended production licenses in Romania. An additional fiscal development in that country adds another layer of complexity: as part of the extension of exploration and production permits for OMV Petrom, the onshore royalty tax was increased by approximately 40%. This is not a marginal change but a significant shift that can materially alter the economics of specific fields.
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Key Data Points:
– Expected Q4 2025 Impairments: Approx. €700 million (pre-tax, non-cash)
– Q4 2025 Production: 300,000 boe/day
– Q4 2025 Average Brent Price: $63.73/barrel
– Q4 2025 Realized Gas Price: 26.4 EUR/MWh
– Next Key Date: February 4, 2026 (Annual Report, Press Conference, Analyst Call)
Market Sentiment and the Path Forward
For shareholders, the central question is the extent to which impairments and operational challenges have affected OMV’s full-year 2025 results. Furthermore, the market will keenly await the company’s derived strategy and outlook for 2026. Key areas of focus will be the dividend announcement, forward guidance, and statements on the strategic transformation.
Current equity pricing reflects a cautious but not panicked stance. Trading at €50.00, the share price sits marginally above the previous close of €49.94. However, it remains roughly 9% below its 52-week high of €55.00, suggesting that expectations have already been tempered without triggering a definitive downward trend.
The February 4, 2026 report, complete with its press conference and analyst call, will provide the first comprehensive answers. This will be followed by the Q1 2026 trading update on April 9. These two events will set the rhythm for investor sentiment in the coming months, particularly regarding dividend specifics and the concrete outlook the market is now demanding after the signals from Q4.
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