Procter & Gamble, the consumer staples titan traditionally viewed as a defensive anchor for investment portfolios, is facing a significant test of its resilience. The company’s Chief Financial Officer, Andre Schulten, has issued a stark warning regarding deteriorating consumer demand in the United States, sending its stock price lower.
A Cautious and Nervous Consumer Emerges
Speaking at the Morgan Stanley Global Consumer & Retail Conference, Schulten painted a concerning picture of the current U.S. market. He described the environment as more volatile than it has been in a long time, with American shoppers becoming noticeably “nervous and cautious.” This shift in sentiment is impacting sales of essential everyday goods, from laundry detergent to diapers, where consumers are pulling back unexpectedly.
The financial chief pointed to a clear downturn in October, where sales in key product categories fell noticeably in both volume and value. Management indicated that similar softness persisted into November, compounding investor concerns.
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Multiple Headwinds Converge
According to P&G’s management, this pronounced consumer hesitation is being driven by a confluence of specific factors pressuring the business simultaneously:
- The End of Government Aid: The temporary suspension of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) has directly impacted the budgets of lower-income households, altering their spending patterns.
- A Tough Year-Over-Year Comparison: In late 2024, many customers built up inventories due to fears of a port strike. These precautionary purchases artificially inflated sales figures at that time, making current performance comparisons appear weaker.
- Intensified Competition: Rivals are now attacking P&G’s market share more aggressively than in the recent past.
Stock Performance Reflects Core Business Worries
The market’s reaction has been swift, mirroring the deepening anxiety around P&G’s core U.S. operations. The share price has declined approximately 22% since the start of the year, putting it on track for its worst annual performance since 2008. Just yesterday, the stock touched a new 52-week low of 124.82 euros.
The direction for the coming weeks will likely be determined by whether U.S. consumer sentiment improves during the crucial holiday shopping season or if the caution highlighted by CFO Schulten continues to define the market landscape.
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