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Home AI & Quantum Computing

Salesforce’s AI Pivot Faces Significant Headwinds

Felix Baarz by Felix Baarz
September 13, 2025
in AI & Quantum Computing, Analysis, Earnings, Tech & Software, Turnaround
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The technology sector is watching closely as Salesforce navigates a complex transformation period. The software behemoth finds itself balancing multiple strategic initiatives simultaneously—from leadership decisions raising eyebrows to aggressive market expansion and the challenging monetization of its multi-billion dollar artificial intelligence investments. The central question remains whether the company is positioned for a successful turnaround or faces further setbacks.

Aggressive Expansion Into Competitive Markets

A pivotal development in Salesforce’s strategy is its formal entry into the IT service management (ITSM) sector, a move that places it in direct competition with established players like ServiceNow. This expansion beyond its traditional customer relationship management (CRM) stronghold aims to unlock new revenue streams in a highly competitive landscape where rivals are equally aggressive.

This market offensive forms part of the broader AI transformation strategy centered around Salesforce’s Agentforce platform. However, the company has encountered significant challenges in converting these substantial AI investments into tangible financial returns. Recent quarterly guidance fell short of expectations, indicating that anticipated revenue benefits are materializing slower than projected.

Leadership Decisions Draw Investor Scrutiny

During a fragile recovery phase for the company’s shares, CEO Marc Benioff’s recent sale of approximately $550,000 worth of stock has generated investor concern. The timing appears particularly inopportune, with the stock trading well below its annual peak and having lost over a third of its value since January 2025. Such insider transactions typically receive heightened scrutiny from the investment community, especially when they coincide with periods of operational challenges.

The analyst community reflects this uncertainty through divided perspectives. While Citigroup maintained its “Neutral” rating despite a minimal target price increase, DA Davidson upgraded its stance from “Underperform” to “Neutral.” Analysts cited increased activity from activist investors as a contributing factor to this modest improvement in outlook, suggesting potential pressure for operational improvements.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Salesforce?

AI Automation Delivers Mixed Results

The implementation of artificial intelligence has already produced concrete operational impacts. CEO Benioff recently acknowledged that AI-driven automation has eliminated approximately 4,000 customer service positions, representing 30 to 50 percent of certain functional roles. While these measures enhance operational efficiency, they also raise questions about long-term strategic direction and workforce planning.

Despite these challenges, Salesforce’s valuation presents an interesting proposition for investors. With a price-to-earnings ratio hovering around 20, the company appears reasonably valued given its market position. Strong free cash flow generation and expanding margins provide fundamental support, while a recent 8 percent monthly recovery suggests the most intense selling pressure may be subsiding.

Activist Influence Could Provide Catalysis

Market observers are particularly interested in Starboard Value’s recent 47 percent increase in its stake. Historically, activist investor involvement has prompted improved capital allocation and operational efficiency at Salesforce. In the current environment, such influence could provide the necessary impetus for strategic refinement.

The wide dispersion of analyst price targets—ranging from $221 to $450—speaks volumes about the uncertainty surrounding Salesforce’s near-term trajectory. The company presents a dual narrative: attractive valuation and strong market position on one side, versus AI monetization challenges and intensifying competition on the other. Forthcoming quarterly results will prove decisive in determining whether Salesforce has successfully navigated its turning point or requires additional time to complete its transformation.

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Felix Baarz

Felix Baarz

My name is Felix Baarz, and I look back on over fifteen years of experience as a business journalist. I have always been fascinated by the mechanisms and dynamics of global financial markets as well as the complex economic and political interconnections that shape our world. With this passion, I have made a name for myself as an expert on international financial markets and dedicate myself with great commitment to making even the most complex topics understandable and accessible to my readers. My roots lie in Cologne, where I was born and raised. Early on, my curiosity about economic topics and international developments sparked my interest in journalism. After completing my studies, I began my career as a business editor at a respected German trade publication. Here I laid the foundation for my professional career, but my curiosity soon drew me out into the wider world. A turning point in my life was moving to New York, where I lived for six years and gained insight into leading media houses. In this vibrant metropolis, I was able to report firsthand from the heart of the global financial world. From daily developments on Wall Street to major economic policy decisions that make waves worldwide, I had the opportunity to write about central topics that move people and markets alike. This time shaped my perspective and sharpened my view of global interconnections.

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