The silver market is currently witnessing a historic surge, with the precious metal’s performance even eclipsing that of gold. This remarkable rally is fueled by a deep structural supply deficit and skyrocketing industrial consumption. As mining output remains flat, booming technology sectors are draining available stocks, creating a potent mix for price appreciation that has captured global investor attention.
Industrial Demand and Monetary Policy Provide Dual Thrust
A key driver behind silver’s strength lies in its dual identity as both an industrial commodity and a monetary asset. Approximately 60% of total demand originates from industrial applications. The photovoltaic sector is leading this charge with record levels of new installations, supported by growing needs from electric vehicle manufacturing and, more recently, from artificial intelligence data centers.
Monetary policy is adding further momentum. The recent decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.5% to 3.75% has applied downward pressure on the U.S. dollar, enhancing silver’s appeal for buyers using other currencies. This environment has also spurred renewed interest from financial investors; holdings in silver-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have already expanded by roughly 18% in 2025.
A Deepening Supply Gap Dictates Market Dynamics
The core engine for this price movement is a profound physical shortage. Global mine production has plateaued at about 813 million ounces annually, while consumption continues its relentless climb. Forecasts for 2025 anticipate a supply deficit of approximately 95 million ounces. Cumulatively, the shortfall from 2021 through 2025 is expected to reach nearly 820 million ounces.
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This fundamental tightness is reflected directly in market prices. Closing at $63.80 on Tuesday, the metal is trading within striking distance of its 52-week high. The strain is further evidenced in the physical market, where lease rates for silver in London are on the rise.
Key Data Points:
* Powerful Momentum: The price has advanced by 26.01% in just the past 30 days.
* Persistent Deficit: Global supply has failed to meet demand for five consecutive years.
* Critical Designation: The U.S. government has formally classified silver as a critical mineral.
Is $70 the Next Stop?
Despite the prevailing euphoria, market observers advise caution. Following the rapid ascent, which briefly pushed prices above $65 per ounce in Asian trading, profit-taking activity emerged. The gold-to-silver ratio has declined to its lowest point since mid-2024, a development some analysts might interpret as a sign of short-term overheating.
Nevertheless, the long-term trajectory appears anchored by the supply-demand fundamentals. As long as the combination of stagnant extraction and robust demand from future-oriented industries persists, upward price pressure is likely to remain. Market experts suggest that, under current conditions, silver possesses the potential to target the $70-per-ounce range.
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