Is the precious metal staging an impressive comeback? After a brief consolidation period, silver bulls have returned with renewed vigor, driven by developments from across the Atlantic that could fundamentally reshape the market landscape for December. The critical question remains whether this momentum possesses the strength to firmly establish a long-term upward trajectory.
Economic Data Shifts Fed Stance
The catalyst for this renewed buying enthusiasm stems directly from recent commentary by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller. His remarks highlighted growing concerns about the US labor market, signaling a notable shift toward supporting an interest rate reduction as early as December. These unexpectedly dovish signals have immediately pressured the US dollar, creating ideal conditions for dollar-denominated, non-yielding assets like silver to advance.
Market expectations have adjusted dramatically in response. Traders now assign approximately an 81% probability to a 25-basis-point rate cut next month, representing a substantial increase from assessments made just one week earlier.
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Technical Breakthroughs Signal Strength
From a chart perspective, silver has delivered a powerful statement. The metal decisively conquered the critical $51 threshold, shattering a significant resistance zone and climbing above key moving averages. Recent closing figures underscore this regained momentum, with silver finishing at $51.16. This positioning brings the metal within striking distance of its 52-week high of $53.23, representing a gap of barely 4%.
Several factors warrant investor attention:
- Monetary Policy: Speculation around a more accommodative Federal Reserve continues to fuel price advances.
- Technical Indicators: An RSI reading of 62.0 indicates healthy buying interest without suggesting an overbought condition.
- Industrial Foundation: Consistent physical demand from solar technology and electronics sectors provides a fundamental floor that limits the depth of potential price corrections.
Sustainable Rally or Temporary Spike?
Does the current advance have staying power? Unlike purely speculative assets, silver enjoys substantial support from real economic activity. The industrial sector’s persistent demand creates a safety net beneath prices. The technical setup remains constructive provided the psychologically important $51 level holds as support. Upcoming US economic releases will likely determine the final direction as markets approach the Fed’s December meeting.
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