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Home Analysis

Strategy’s Bold Bitcoin Bet: $19 Million Purchase and Citi’s Bullish Call

Dieter Jaworski by Dieter Jaworski
October 22, 2025
in Analysis, Bitcoin, Crypto Stocks
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The corporate world’s most prominent Bitcoin accumulator, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), has reinforced its cryptocurrency position with another substantial acquisition. The company added 168 Bitcoin to its treasury at a cost of approximately $19 million, continuing its aggressive digital asset strategy. This latest move coincides with a significant development from Wall Street, where Citigroup has initiated coverage with an emphatic bullish stance.

Citigroup Positions Strategy as Leveraged Bitcoin Play

In a notable endorsement, Citigroup analysts have assigned Strategy a “Buy/High Risk” rating with a $485 price target, representing potential upside of roughly 60% from current levels around $300. The financial institution characterizes the company as essentially “a leveraged bet on Bitcoin,” aligning with their 12-month Bitcoin price forecast of $181,000.

According to Citi’s research team, “We estimate that MSTR’s NAV premium could range between 25% and 35%, consistent with the stock’s historical 2.5x to 3.5x Bitcoin yield multiple.” The analysis does include cautionary notes, emphasizing that Strategy’s valuation remains almost entirely dependent on the notoriously volatile cryptocurrency markets.

Treasury Swells to 640,418 Bitcoin Holdings

Strategy’s relentless accumulation strategy has now expanded its Bitcoin reserves to an impressive 640,418 BTC, currently valued at approximately $71 billion. The most recent purchase was executed at an average price of $112,051 per Bitcoin and funded through preferred share programs rather than drawing upon the company’s $15.91 billion common stock program, marking the third consecutive week without utilizing this funding mechanism.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying MicroStrategy?

The company’s total investment in Bitcoin now stands at $47.4 billion, with an average acquisition cost of $74,010 per coin. This positions Strategy with approximately $23.7 billion in unrealized gains on its cryptocurrency holdings.

Upcoming Quarterly Results to Test Market Sentiment

All eyes now turn to October 30, when Strategy will release its third-quarter financial results. These figures are anticipated with particular interest given Bitcoin’s recent price volatility, which saw the cryptocurrency fluctuate between $103,500 and $115,000 – movements that directly impact Strategy’s valuation.

Market observers are also noting an interesting trend in investor preference. The ratio between Strategy and the BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust has declined to 4.74, its lowest level since October 2024. This suggests some market participants may be opting for more direct Bitcoin exposure through ETFs rather than the corporate vehicle approach championed by Strategy.

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Tags: MicroStrategy
Dieter Jaworski

Dieter Jaworski

About Dieter Jaworski From a numbers-obsessed child to creating his first investment newsletter. Even as a child, Dieter Jaworski's mother couldn't believe how fascinated he was with numbers. This early passion for mathematics and data analysis laid the foundation for a successful career in financial markets and investment analysis.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Financial Newsletter Publishing
  • Data-Driven Investment Strategies
  • Market Pattern Recognition
Dieter's unique approach combines his natural affinity for numbers with decades of market experience, providing investors with data-driven insights and practical investment strategies.

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