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Home Analysis

Tilray Shares Face Mounting Pressure as US Regulatory Shift Unfolds

Dieter Jaworski by Dieter Jaworski
November 16, 2025
in Analysis, Cannabis, Market Commentary, Penny Stocks
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The Canadian cannabis producer Tilray is confronting intensified selling pressure as a recent legislative change in the United States casts a shadow over its strategic ambitions. This development represents a significant obstacle for the company’s long-term plans to expand within the US market.

Friday’s trading session saw Tilray shares decline by 4.42% to close at $1.08, marking the second consecutive day of substantial losses. Trading activity surged 18% above average levels as investors exited positions, reflecting heightened market anxiety.

Legislative Reversal Targets Hemp Derivatives

The downturn was triggered by a late addition to a US federal budget bill that effectively re-criminalizes certain popular hemp-derived THC products, including Delta-8 THC. These products had operated in a legal gray area since the 2018 Farm Bill, evolving into a profitable sector of the market.

This regulatory shift deals a blow to Canadian cannabis firms like Tilray, for whom hemp products represented a potential pathway into the federally restricted US cannabis landscape. That strategic avenue now appears substantially constrained.

Market response proved severe across two sessions:
* Thursday witnessed a sharp drop of 8.13%
* Losses continued Friday with a 4.4% intraday decline
* The stock touched an intraday low of $1.06
* Trading volume approached 60 million shares

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Tilray?

Company Condemns New Restrictions

Tilray issued a strong response, criticizing what it termed “misguided prohibitionist measures.” The company is advocating for what it describes as “smart, responsible hemp regulations” rather than outright bans.

Despite the firm stance, management sought to reassure stakeholders, stating it anticipates “no material revenue impact” from the newly enacted restrictions.

Diversification Strategy Tested by Investor Sentiment

The significant share price erosion indicates that market participants remain unconvinced by the company’s calming remarks. Concerns are mounting over the viability of Tilray’s broader US strategy. This skepticism persists even though the corporation has diversified its portfolio through acquisitions in the craft beer and alcoholic beverage sectors, a move intended to hedge against volatility in its core cannabis operations.

Market analysts maintain a cautious outlook, with an average price target of $2.00 and a “Hold” recommendation. From a technical analysis perspective, the situation appears tense; the stock has fallen below its 50-day moving average, a development often interpreted as a bearish indicator for the near term.

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Tags: Tilray
Dieter Jaworski

Dieter Jaworski

About Dieter Jaworski From a numbers-obsessed child to creating his first investment newsletter. Even as a child, Dieter Jaworski's mother couldn't believe how fascinated he was with numbers. This early passion for mathematics and data analysis laid the foundation for a successful career in financial markets and investment analysis.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Financial Newsletter Publishing
  • Data-Driven Investment Strategies
  • Market Pattern Recognition
Dieter's unique approach combines his natural affinity for numbers with decades of market experience, providing investors with data-driven insights and practical investment strategies.

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