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Home Analysis

Xiaomi Shares Face Critical Test as Bearish Pressures Mount

Felix Baarz by Felix Baarz
November 10, 2025
in Analysis, Asian Markets, Tech & Software, Trading & Momentum, Turnaround
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Xiaomi Stock
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The Chinese technology conglomerate Xiaomi finds itself navigating turbulent market conditions. With institutional investors increasingly betting against the company and fundamental business challenges intensifying, the stock’s support levels are being severely tested. Despite the prevailing pessimism, questions remain about potential recovery opportunities for investors.

Institutional Exodus Gains Momentum

The current situation has become particularly concerning due to mounting institutional skepticism. Data reveals that institutional broker clients dramatically increased their short positions by 53 percent during the previous week. This substantial selling pressure originates primarily from pension funds and hedge funds that are actively shorting the company. Market participants cite absent near-term catalysts and security concerns as their primary justification. When major market players adopt such definitive stances, retail investors typically face heightened challenges.

Technical Indicators Flash Warning Signals

Chart analysis presents troubling prospects for Xiaomi’s equity performance. The security remains firmly entrenched within a pronounced and persistent downward trajectory, having registered significant declines during eight of the most recent ten trading sessions. Multiple technical indicators unanimously signal “Strong Sell” recommendations, with the share price trapped inside a broad descending trend channel. For technically-focused market participants, current patterns suggest the underperformance phase will likely continue in the immediate future.

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Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Xiaomi?

Fundamental Vulnerabilities Emerge

Beyond technical concerns, Xiaomi’s operational foundations are displaying worrying weaknesses:

  • Gross margins within core segments, particularly IoT and smartphones, are contracting noticeably
  • Rising component costs are compressing smartphone profitability
  • Growth momentum in the Internet of Things division appears poised to decelerate substantially
  • The company is discontinuing its entire “Xiaomi Call” service

These developments have already prompted reaction from research firms, with one analyst group reducing its price target in response to the deteriorating fundamentals. The essential groundwork necessary for sustained recovery appears increasingly fragile.

Goldman Sachs Stands as Lone Bullish Voice

Amid the overwhelming negative sentiment, one surprising optimistic voice has emerged. Goldman Sachs has added Xiaomi to its current Hong Kong buy list, justifying this contrarian position using their “Earnings Reassessment Leading Indicator,” which anticipates favorable long-term profit development.

This divergent assessment creates a conflicting market narrative. While short-term indicators universally point toward additional losses, at least one significant financial institution perceives long-term potential. The ultimate question remains whether the pessimistic majority or the solitary optimist will ultimately prove correct in their assessment.

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Tags: Xiaomi
Felix Baarz

Felix Baarz

My name is Felix Baarz, and I look back on over fifteen years of experience as a business journalist. I have always been fascinated by the mechanisms and dynamics of global financial markets as well as the complex economic and political interconnections that shape our world. With this passion, I have made a name for myself as an expert on international financial markets and dedicate myself with great commitment to making even the most complex topics understandable and accessible to my readers. My roots lie in Cologne, where I was born and raised. Early on, my curiosity about economic topics and international developments sparked my interest in journalism. After completing my studies, I began my career as a business editor at a respected German trade publication. Here I laid the foundation for my professional career, but my curiosity soon drew me out into the wider world. A turning point in my life was moving to New York, where I lived for six years and gained insight into leading media houses. In this vibrant metropolis, I was able to report firsthand from the heart of the global financial world. From daily developments on Wall Street to major economic policy decisions that make waves worldwide, I had the opportunity to write about central topics that move people and markets alike. This time shaped my perspective and sharpened my view of global interconnections.

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