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Home Analysis

Barrick Gold Shares Accelerate on Strong Fundamentals and Strategic Moves

Robert Sasse by Robert Sasse
January 6, 2026
in Analysis, Commodities, Gold & Precious Metals, Trading & Momentum
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The shares of Barrick Gold, the world’s largest gold producer, began the week with significant momentum, posting a gain exceeding 5 percent on Monday. Trading closed in Toronto at approximately C$63.57, with the positive trend showing signs of continuation. This upward movement is being fueled by a dual catalyst: a pronounced rally in precious metals prices and persistent market speculation regarding the potential separation of the company’s North American mining assets.

Robust Financials and Technical Breakout Support the Rally

The company’s recent operational performance provides a solid foundation for investor optimism. For the latest quarter, Barrick reported earnings per share of $0.58, surpassing analyst estimates of $0.57. Revenue saw a substantial year-over-year increase of 23.2 percent, reaching $4.19 billion. This strong financial showing underscores the miner’s ability to leverage high gold prices and convert them into improved margins through its efficient mining operations.

From a technical analysis perspective, the equity recently broke through key resistance levels. It is now trading above all major moving averages, a signal interpreted by traders as indicating underlying strength. This technical breakout coincides with gold and silver prices hitting fresh annual highs in early 2026, creating a favorable environment for major producers like Barrick.

Further bolstering confidence is the company’s healthy balance sheet, which features a low debt ratio of 0.14. Shareholders also benefit from a consistent quarterly dividend, currently set at $0.175 per share. This combination of growth potential and distribution stability is particularly valued during periods of broader market uncertainty.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Barrick?

Strategic Review of North American Assets Acts as Key Catalyst

A major focal point for the market remains the strategic review announced in December 2025, which is examining a potential initial public offering (IPO) for Barrick’s North American gold properties. The prospective new entity, referred to internally as “NewCo,” is expected to include high-quality operations such as the highly profitable Nevada Gold Mines joint venture. Investors view this potential corporate restructuring as an opportunity to gain direct exposure to top-tier mining assets and anticipate a positive revaluation of the separated entities.

This sentiment is echoed by several investment banks. Firms including Jefferies have reiterated buy recommendations, setting price targets as high as $55. The prevailing market view suggests that the current share price does not yet fully reflect the premium quality of Barrick’s Tier One mine portfolio.

Upcoming Milestone: Full-Year 2025 Results

Attention now turns to February, when Barrick is scheduled to release its complete financial results for 2025 and provide forward guidance. The market awaits clarity on whether the company can maintain its long-term production target of approximately 5 million ounces of gold equivalent per year.

Analyzing the chart, the next significant technical resistance level is seen around $47. A sustained breakthrough above this point could pave the way for a move toward the $50 to $55 range. Conversely, should the price of gold undergo a correction, support is expected to emerge in the $40 to $42 zone.

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Robert Sasse

Robert Sasse

About Dr. Robert Sasse Accomplished economist, entrepreneur, and profound expert in financial markets. Dr. Robert Sasse holds a doctorate in economics and combines academic rigor with practical entrepreneurial experience. His deep expertise in economic relationships and unwavering conviction for a free-market liberal economic order drives his mission to provide investors with well-founded knowledge and guidance.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Economic Theory and Practice
  • Free-Market Economics
  • Entrepreneurship and Business Strategy
  • Investment Philosophy
Dr. Sasse's unique combination of academic knowledge and real-world business experience enables him to provide investors with comprehensive insights that bridge theory and practice.

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