Armour Residential REIT: Dividend Appeal Meets Technical Uncertainty

Armour Residential REIT presents investors with a compelling dichotomy. The mortgage real estate investment trust continues to attract income-focused shareholders with its reliable monthly distributions, while its stock price action reveals a more complex and conflicting technical picture.

Confirmed Dividend Payment for September 2025

In accordance with its structure as a REIT, Armour Residential is required to distribute the majority of its taxable income to maintain its privileged tax status. The company’s board confirmed this commitment on August 27th by declaring a cash dividend of $0.24 per common share for September 2025. Shareholders of record on September 15th will receive this payment on September 29th.

• Dividend per share: $0.24
• Ex-dividend date: September 15, 2025
• Payment date: September 29, 2025

Mixed Signals from Recent Trading Activity

The stock closed at $15.31 on August 29th, marking a single-day gain of 1.12% from its previous close of $15.14. Trading was volatile, with the share price fluctuating within a 1.56% range, hitting a low of $15.10 and a high of $15.33 during the session. This performance contributed to a two-week advance of 1.66%.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Armour Residential Reit?

A notable surge in trading activity accompanied this price increase. Volume rose by 417,000 shares to approximately three million shares traded, generating a total dollar volume of around $42.43 million. This combination of rising price and rising volume is generally interpreted by market technicians as a positive short-term indicator. Projections for the following session anticipated an opening price of $15.25 with an expected trading range between $15.17 and $15.45.

Technical Analysis Reveals a Bearish Bias

Despite the recent uptick, the overarching technical outlook for Armour Residential REIT remains bearish. Analysts assessing key indicators report three negative signals for every positive one. The medium-term trend is particularly concerning, as the stock’s 20-day moving average continues to trade below its 60-day moving average—a classic sign of sustained downward momentum.

However, not all short-term signals are negative. Since August 11th, the equity has been tracing a tentative upward trajectory, gaining 2.89%. The most recent advance on elevated volume provides a strong bullish counter-signal for the immediate term. Key resistance levels to watch are positioned at $15.43 and $15.71, while critical support lies at $14.53 and $14.25. Adding to the potential for a short-term rebound, the short interest ratio has declined to 22.29%, suggesting that some bearish traders may be covering their positions.