Newsletter
From $100 Oil to a 0.7% Economy: The Week the Fed Lost Its Playbook
Dear readers, On Thursday we wrote that the S&P 500's composure rested on a foundation of macroeconomic data that was...
400 Million Barrels, a $100 Handle, and the Market’s Dangerous Calm
Dear readers, Yesterday we wrote that clean February inflation data cannot insulate a central bank from a March energy crisis...
Sixteen Vessels, a $93 Handle, and the Physical Cost of the AI Boom
Dear readers, Yesterday we wrote that the late-session rally bought American markets a reprieve but not clarity—and that clarity would...
Triple Digits, a Late-Session Reversal, and AI’s Quiet Trickle-Down
Dear readers, On Saturday, we closed with a blunt forecast: when futures opened Sunday evening, crude was the only chart...
92,000 Jobs Lost, Drones Over AWS, and the Stagflation Reckoning
Dear readers, On Thursday, we warned that Washington's dual mission—prosecuting a military conflict while stabilizing the energy markets that conflict...
Crude’s $84 Handle, Broadcom’s Hundred-Billion Bet, and the Warsh Wildcard
Dear readers, Yesterday we asked how long Washington could sustain its dual role as warfighter and market stabilizer. Twenty-four hours...
Missiles Over the Gulf, a $110 Billion Media Coronation, and the Monday Nobody Wants
Dear readers, On Friday, we closed with a warning: keep a close eye on the Middle East this weekend. The...
The Pentagon’s AI Ultimatum, Paramount’s $111 Billion Gambit, and Gold’s New Frontier
Dear readers, On Wednesday, we asked whether Jensen Huang's earnings call would validate the thesis that $700 billion in AI...
Jensen’s Verdict, a $700 Billion Thesis, and IBM’s Worst Day Since Y2K
Dear readers, On Saturday, we flagged Nvidia's Wednesday report as the event that could drag the entire technology sector lower...
The Constitutional Counterpunch, A 150-Day Sprint, and Walmart’s Warning
Dear readers, Yesterday we examined the stagflationary whisper emerging from a 1.4% GDP print. Today, that whisper has been drowned...
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