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Home Analysis

Full House Resorts Stock Faces Mounting Pressure Amid Mixed Performance

Dieter Jaworski by Dieter Jaworski
August 31, 2025
in Analysis, Earnings, Gaming & Metaverse
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The investment case for Full House Resorts has become increasingly complex as the casino operator navigates a landscape of stark operational contrasts. While its Illinois property delivers record-breaking results, disappointing quarterly figures and persistent challenges at another key location have triggered a significant stock decline. Technical indicators now point to further weakness, raising questions about the timeline for any potential recovery.

Technical Chart Flashes Warning Signals

Market technicians have identified a concerning pattern in Full House Resorts’ equity performance. Since August 29, the stock has carried a formal “Sell” designation based on technical analysis. Both short-term and long-term moving averages are generating bearish signals, while elevated volatility and widening Bollinger Bands suggest continued downward pressure. The shares currently trade approximately 33% below their 52-week high, firmly entrenched in a negative trend.

Second Quarter Earnings Fall Short of Expectations

The company’s Q2 2025 financial release proved disappointing to investors across multiple metrics. Revenue reached $73.9 million, representing a minimal 0.6% year-over-year increase but falling substantially short of the $77.8 million consensus forecast. The bottom-line performance proved even more concerning, with the net loss expanding to $10.4 million compared to $8.6 million in the same quarter last year. Perhaps most significantly, adjusted EBITDA plummeted 21.3% to $11.1 million, indicating deeper operational challenges.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Full House Resorts?

Divergent Property Performance Creates Regional Split

A tale of two casinos emerged in the quarterly results. The American Place facility in Illinois delivered exceptional performance, generating record revenue of $30.7 million and showing improved operational efficiency. Meanwhile, the Chamonix property in Colorado emerged as a primary concern, with elevated operating costs compressing margins despite management’s ongoing cost-cutting initiatives.

The company reported $1.2 million in quarterly savings from these efficiency measures, with annualized savings expected to exceed $4 million. Management has also implemented a new marketing strategy designed to drive improved performance at the struggling Colorado location.

Analyst Sentiment Contrasts With Market Performance

Despite the deteriorating technical picture and challenging fundamentals, research analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic stance. The average price target of $5.50 suggests potential upside exceeding 50% from current levels—a projection that appears ambitious given recent financial results. The critical question facing investors is whether Full House Resorts can successfully address its Colorado operational issues before further financial deterioration occurs.

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Dieter Jaworski

Dieter Jaworski

About Dieter Jaworski From a numbers-obsessed child to creating his first investment newsletter. Even as a child, Dieter Jaworski's mother couldn't believe how fascinated he was with numbers. This early passion for mathematics and data analysis laid the foundation for a successful career in financial markets and investment analysis.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Financial Newsletter Publishing
  • Data-Driven Investment Strategies
  • Market Pattern Recognition
Dieter's unique approach combines his natural affinity for numbers with decades of market experience, providing investors with data-driven insights and practical investment strategies.

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