Shares of memory chip leader Micron Technology are experiencing a powerful rally, underscored by a staggering 186% year-to-date gain. This momentum is mirrored in a wave of increasingly bullish analyst assessments from major investment banks, with Goldman Sachs joining the chorus on December 3 by lifting its price target. The driving forces are clear: sustained price increases for memory chips, tight inventory levels, and seemingly insatiable demand fueled by artificial intelligence. All eyes are now on whether Micron can meet these elevated expectations when it reports quarterly results on December 17.
Unquenchable AI Demand Fuels Optimism
The core of the market’s enthusiasm stems from explosive demand for high-performance memory in AI applications. Micron’s High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) products are critical components for AI accelerators from Nvidia and other chipmakers. Prices for DRAM chips have already risen approximately 50% in 2025, with forecasts suggesting a potential doubling for server DRAM by the end of 2026.
Supply remains constrained across the industry. Micron’s HBM capacity is fully booked through 2026, while competitors Samsung and SK Hynix face capacity limitations in China, which hosts 30-35% of their production. Micron’s data center business has more than doubled recently, with HBM revenue growing nearly 50% quarter-over-quarter.
A Symphony of Bullish Analyst Upgrades
Goldman Sachs is far from alone in its positive outlook. Recent weeks have seen a series of significant price target increases from prominent firms:
- Morgan Stanley: Set a target of $338. Analyst Joseph Moore compares the current environment to the 2018 memory chip shortage and names Micron as his top pick.
- UBS: Issued a $275 target, emphasizing that Micron’s HBM supply is completely sold out through late 2026.
- Wolfe Research: Raised its target to $300, citing better-than-expected pricing trends.
- BNP Paribas Exane: Upgraded the stock to “Outperform” with a $270 target, describing the start of a potential “memory super-cycle.”
Of 29 analysts covering the stock, 26 currently rate it a “Buy.” The average price target stands at $232.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Micron?
Goldman Sachs Details Its Bullish Case
Goldman Sachs raised its Micron price objective from $180 to $205, reiterating a Buy recommendation. Analyst James Schneider pointed to continuing price momentum in the DRAM market as the key catalyst. The bank forecasts current-quarter revenue of $13.2 billion, notably above the consensus estimate of $12.7 billion. It also sees upside potential in gross margin (projecting 53.1% vs. expectations of 51.6%) and earnings per share (forecasting $4.15 vs. $3.84).
For the February quarter, Goldman anticipates revenue of $13.7 billion and a margin approaching 55%. Schneider did caution, however, that investor expectations are already “significantly elevated,” placing enormous pressure on Micron to deliver strong results.
December 17 Earnings Report in the Spotlight
Micron is scheduled to release its Q1 2026 financial results on December 17. Expectations are high: Wall Street consensus points to revenue of $12.62 billion and adjusted earnings per share between $3.58 and $3.80—a dramatic increase from just $1.62 in the year-ago quarter. Company guidance had previously projected $12.5 billion in revenue and EPS of $3.75. Many market experts believe Micron will surpass these forecasts, given that pricing conditions have improved further since the guidance was provided.
Key focuses for the report will be the performance of the HBM business, the margins achieved, and, crucially, the company’s outlook for the remainder of 2026.
Billions in Investments Secure Future Growth
Alongside its operational performance, Micron is committing substantial capital to expand production capacity. In Japan, the company plans investments totaling $9.6 billion at its Hiroshima facility, supported by approximately $3.6 billion in subsidies from the Japanese government to advance DRAM production. In the United States, new fabrication plants are under construction in Idaho and New York, slated to begin production between 2027 and 2029. These investments could boost Micron’s share of DRAM production in the U.S. from low single-digit percentages to around 20%.
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