Memory chip manufacturer Micron Technology has delivered a significant announcement during the Thanksgiving period, revealing that its entire production capacity for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM)—a critical component powering advanced artificial intelligence systems—is completely sold out through the end of 2026. This positions the company with a substantial revenue buffer for the coming two years, even as competitors vie for market position. Following a recent share price decline, could this news provide the catalyst for a year-end rally?
Strong Recovery and Technical Resistance
After experiencing what traders described as a “flash crash” in mid-November—where shares plummeted 23% over several days, falling below the $200 threshold—Micron’s stock has demonstrated a remarkable rebound. The equity has since reclaimed its 50-day moving average and now faces its next significant technical resistance level at $257. Market analysts suggest that a decisive break above this barrier could potentially open a path toward new all-time highs.
Investment firm Morgan Stanley has identified even greater upside potential, setting a price target of $338, which represents substantial appreciation from current trading levels. The company’s upcoming quarterly earnings report, scheduled for December 17, will serve as the next critical test for investor confidence. Until then, the “sold out” production narrative is expected to provide sustained positive momentum.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Micron?
S&P Global Upgrades Outlook on AI Dominance
In a significant mid-week development, rating agency S&P Global revised its assessment of Micron from “stable” to “positive,” while maintaining the company’s BBB- investment-grade rating. This optimistic shift stems from Micron’s commanding position in the AI memory market, where its next-generation HBM products are proving transformative.
Company representatives confirmed that not only is current HBM3E production fully allocated, but upcoming HBM4 technology is also completely pre-sold. Addressing recent speculation about developmental delays, Micron clarified the HBM4 timeline: initial sample deliveries are scheduled for early 2026, with volume production commencing in the second half of the year.
Concurrently, the company’s gross profit margin is approaching 50%, a level not seen since 2018. This margin expansion is largely attributable to a strategic shift in revenue composition, with over 56% of sales now generated from the higher-margin data center business segment.
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