Costco has implemented a significant change to its membership structure, a strategic move that prioritizes its highest-value customers while potentially testing the loyalty of its broader member base. The warehouse retailer is now offering exclusive early shopping hours to its Executive Members, effectively creating a tiered access system that began without a transition phase on September 1st.
A Calculated Business Decision
The new policy grants Executive Members a substantial head start on their shopping. They now receive a full hour of early access on weekdays and Sundays, along with a 30-minute advantage on Saturdays. This leaves Gold Star and Business Members waiting for the standard store opening times.
This strategic shift is firmly rooted in the company’s financial data. Despite representing less than half of the total membership base, Executive Members are responsible for a commanding 73% of Costco’s sales. The initiative serves a dual purpose: to reward this lucrative customer segment and to incentivize standard members to upgrade their subscriptions. Membership fees form the cornerstone of Costco’s business model, and this move is a targeted effort to further boost this critical revenue stream.
Market Analysts Maintain Confidence
Despite the controversial nature of this decision, financial analysts remain largely optimistic about the company’s outlook. In late August, Jefferies reaffirmed its “Buy” rating, signaling confidence in the strategy. Wall Street analysts are projecting earnings per share of $5.82 for the upcoming Q4 results, scheduled for September 25th, which would represent a 9.1% increase compared to the previous year.
Recent sales figures bolster this positive sentiment. In July 2025, Costco reported a robust 8.5% increase in net sales, reaching $20.89 billion. Other major firms, including Evercore ISI and JPMorgan Chase & Co., have also maintained favorable positions with “Buy” and “Overweight” ratings, respectively. The overall analyst consensus continues to be “Moderate Buy.”
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Diverging Moves Among Major Investors and Insiders
The activity of large institutional investors presents a mixed picture. Stony Point Capital aggressively increased its holdings by 122.7% in the first quarter, building a position now valued at $15.83 million. Conversely, GKV Capital reduced its exposure by 17.9%.
In a contrasting trend, insider trading activity has shown selling pressure. Over the past three months, top executives, including EVP Pierre Riel and EVP Patrick J. Callans, have sold shares collectively worth over $10 million. The market often scrutinizes such transactions for insights into management’s perspective on the company’s valuation.
Costco’s recent quarterly performance has been strong. For Q3 FY2025, the company surpassed expectations by reporting an EPS of $4.28 and growing revenue by 8.0% to $63.21 billion. The retailer also distributed a solid quarterly dividend of $1.30 per share.
By implementing this two-tiered membership access, Costco is consciously risking alienating a portion of its customer base. The corporation is betting that the strategy will foster greater loyalty among its most valuable Executive Members and convince enough standard members to pay a premium for exclusivity. The coming weeks will reveal whether this calculated risk pays off.
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