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Home AI & Quantum Computing

Applied Digital Stock Surges on Expanded AI Infrastructure Deal

Dieter Jaworski by Dieter Jaworski
October 7, 2025
in AI & Quantum Computing, Analysis, Tech & Software, Trading & Momentum
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Shares of Applied Digital experienced significant upward momentum following news that cloud computing specialist CoreWeave has activated additional leasing options for data center capacity. The announcement propelled the company’s stock price upward by 8.1% to $28.69, marking a notable market response to the development.

Analyst Confidence Builds as Price Targets Climb

Financial analysts have responded enthusiastically to Applied Digital’s recent developments. Compass Point Research dramatically revised its price target upward from $13 to $30 while maintaining its “Buy” recommendation. The firm cited the complete leasing of Polaris Forge 1 to CoreWeave and enhanced prospects for attracting a hyperscale client to Polaris Forge 2 as primary catalysts.

In a parallel move, H.C. Wainwright increased its price target from $15 to $20, similarly upholding a “Buy” rating. This coordinated analyst optimism reflects strong confidence in the company’s expansion strategy and capital allocation initiatives.

Contract Value Soars to $11 Billion

The substantial revision in leasing revenue projections represents a transformative development for Applied Digital. CoreWeave has expanded the total anticipated leasing revenue to an impressive $11 billion, encompassing both the Polaris Forge 1 and North Ellendale construction projects. This monumental figure signals robust, multi-year demand for the company’s high-performance computing infrastructure.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Applied Blockchain?

The expanded agreement builds upon existing arrangements:
* Two initial leasing contracts from May already accounted for $7 billion
* Coverage of 400MW in IT capacity
* Construction of a new $3 billion AI computing facility (Polaris Forge 2) delivering 280MW of power

Market Dynamics Raise Questions Amid Gains

Despite the price appreciation, trading patterns present an interesting narrative. Trading volume contracted sharply by 73%, with approximately 9.77 million shares changing hands. This divergence between price movement and volume activity invites consideration about whether the surge reflects genuine market conviction or limited liquidity conditions.

Applied Digital’s strategic focus on AI-optimized data centers capable of supporting rack densities up to 120kW positions the company advantageously within the current artificial intelligence expansion. Industry comparisons reveal that fewer than 10% of data center locations currently achieve power densities exceeding 50kW. The critical question remains whether this technological advantage can translate into sustainable profitability.

Future Outlook Hinges on Quarterly Results

The upcoming earnings call scheduled for Thursday promises to provide crucial insights into Applied Digital’s operational trajectory. This disclosure will likely indicate whether the current artificial intelligence enthusiasm is substantiated by fundamental performance or if market expectations may be exceeding near-term realities.

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Tags: Applied Blockchain
Dieter Jaworski

Dieter Jaworski

About Dieter Jaworski From a numbers-obsessed child to creating his first investment newsletter. Even as a child, Dieter Jaworski's mother couldn't believe how fascinated he was with numbers. This early passion for mathematics and data analysis laid the foundation for a successful career in financial markets and investment analysis.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Financial Newsletter Publishing
  • Data-Driven Investment Strategies
  • Market Pattern Recognition
Dieter's unique approach combines his natural affinity for numbers with decades of market experience, providing investors with data-driven insights and practical investment strategies.

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