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Home Analysis

Can Copart Shares Sustain Their Recovery Momentum?

Robert Sasse by Robert Sasse
November 3, 2025
in Analysis, Trading & Momentum, Turnaround
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Copart Stock
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After touching yearly lows, Copart’s stock is gradually ascending, yet the technical outlook remains divided. As the shares post modest gains in the current session, investors are grappling with a pivotal question: Will the company’s strategic push for improved service margins be sufficient to definitively reverse the prevailing downtrend?

Critical Test Approaches with November Earnings

The upcoming quarterly report, scheduled for November 20, represents a crucial juncture for the vehicle auction specialist. Market researchers are forecasting earnings per share of $0.40, which would translate to an 8.1 percent year-over-year increase. The company’s recent performance has been a mixed bag; in the fourth quarter of 2025, it posted an EPS of $0.41, surpassing the $0.37 estimate, but revenue of $1.13 billion narrowly missed the $1.14 billion expectation. This resulted in the stock declining 2.8 percent following the earnings release.

Wall Street’s Cautious Optimism

Despite recent setbacks, the consensus rating on Wall Street remains a “Moderate Buy” for Copart. The average price target of $54.50 suggests an upside potential exceeding 26 percent from current trading levels. However, this apparent unanimity masks a deeply divided analyst community:

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Copart?

  • HSBC upgraded the stock to “Strong Buy” in September, establishing a $62 price target.
  • In contrast, Stephens reduced its target from $50 to $46, maintaining an “Equal Weight” rating.
  • CFRA reaffirmed its “Strong Buy” recommendation but adjusted its price objective downward from $70 to $65 after the Q4 results.

This divergence highlights the prevailing uncertainty regarding the company’s near-term prospects.

Service Margin Strategy Under the Microscope

The recent partnership with One Inc., aimed at modernizing payments for lienholders, underscores Copart’s intensified focus on higher-margin services. This strategic shift is timely, as the company contends with pressure from macroeconomic headwinds and a decline in vehicle sales volumes.

From a technical analysis perspective, the equity is caught in a tug-of-war. While a buy signal was triggered from a low point on October 30, both short-term and long-term moving averages continue to flash sell signals. The trading action over the next several sessions will be critical in determining whether Copart can validate its nascent recovery or if it will retreat back towards its recent lows.

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Tags: Copart
Robert Sasse

Robert Sasse

About Dr. Robert Sasse Accomplished economist, entrepreneur, and profound expert in financial markets. Dr. Robert Sasse holds a doctorate in economics and combines academic rigor with practical entrepreneurial experience. His deep expertise in economic relationships and unwavering conviction for a free-market liberal economic order drives his mission to provide investors with well-founded knowledge and guidance.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Economic Theory and Practice
  • Free-Market Economics
  • Entrepreneurship and Business Strategy
  • Investment Philosophy
Dr. Sasse's unique combination of academic knowledge and real-world business experience enables him to provide investors with comprehensive insights that bridge theory and practice.

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