Broadcom’s push to expand its enterprise software footprint scored a major win this week, even as regulatory pressure on its VMware acquisition intensifies on both sides of the Atlantic. The company’s stock retreated amid the conflicting signals, with shares closing at €332.65 on Friday, down 3.45% on the day and 5.25% lower over the past seven days.
Standard Chartered formally announced on July 15 that it has adopted VMware Cloud Foundation (VCF) as the foundation for its private cloud infrastructure across all 54 markets in which it operates. Some 70% of the bank’s global infrastructure is already running on the new architecture, reducing deployment times for new banking services from weeks to a single day. The platform brings integrated zero-trust security features that are critical for payment processing and digital banking operations. John Sharratt of Standard Chartered and Krish Prasad of Broadcom both welcomed the long-term partnership in a joint statement; financial terms were not disclosed.
The deal comes as European cloud industry associations step up their campaign against Broadcom’s licensing practices. CISPE, Beltug, Cigref, VOICE and CIO Platform Nederland sent a joint letter to EU commissioners Ribera and Virkkunen on July 10, demanding immediate interim measures. The groups accuse Broadcom of dramatically raising VMware license prices and locking out smaller cloud providers, and they are calling for the VMware Cloud Service Provider program to remain in place for at least three more years while the European Commission’s formal investigation continues. Broadcom has dismissed the allegations, pointing out that CISPE is funded in part by large hyperscalers.
The regulatory headwinds extend beyond Europe. The U.S. International Trade Commission has opened a separate probe into alleged patent infringements involving Broadcom, Google and Nvidia over memory chips supplied by Netlist. And in a development that could strengthen the hand of competition authorities, the European Court of Justice ruled on July 16 that regulators may seize business emails during dawn raids without a prior court order — a decision linked to a Portuguese case but applicable to ongoing investigations such as the one targeting Broadcom.
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Customer defections are already materializing. U.S. convenience store chain Sheetz pulled its 838 locations off VMware systems on July 15, citing “too much uncertainty” following the Broadcom takeover. Gartner predicts that as many as 35% of VMware workloads could migrate to alternative platforms by 2028, which would represent a structural shift in the cloud market.
Broadcom’s core financial metrics, however, remain robust. In its fiscal second quarter the company reported earnings per share of $2.44, beating the consensus estimate of $2.40, while revenue surged 47.9% year over year to $22.19 billion — also above analyst expectations. The Apple chip supply deal has been extended through 2031, covering multiple generations of custom ASICs. In the AI semiconductor segment, revenue hit $10.8 billion in the latest quarter, up 143% from a year earlier, and analysts forecast AI chip revenue could reach roughly €16 billion in the coming quarter. Looking further ahead, Broadcom expects AI-related revenue to surpass $100 billion by 2027. For the current fiscal year, analysts project revenue growth of 67%, followed by 62% growth next year.
Morgan Stanley reiterated its overweight rating on the stock on July 16, with a price target of $502. The bank estimates Broadcom controls roughly 80% of the market for Google’s TPU chips and dismissed concerns about potential competition from MediaTek as premature. Insider activity has been mixed: one board member purchased 1,000 shares at $373.57, while another executive sold 1,602 shares at $373.86.
The stock now sits 22.6% below its 52-week high of €429.60 reached on June 3, and has slipped below its 50-day moving average of €349.26. Despite the recent pullback, year-to-date gains stand at 12.14%, and the stock is up 37.86% over the past twelve months. Whether the combination of landmark enterprise contracts like Standard Chartered and sustained AI momentum can offset the multiplying regulatory challenges will likely hinge on the EU investigation’s next steps — particularly the commission’s response to the industry’s demand for a three-year transition period.
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