The British government has formally signed off on a long-anticipated funding package for ITM Power, unlocking £86.5 million to build a high-volume production line for its next-generation Chronos electrolyser stacks in Sheffield. Yet the market response tells a more complicated story: shares initially leapt on the news, only to give back those gains the following day, closing at €1.34 – a 2.47% decline on Friday.
The split verdict captures the tension between regulatory de-risking and the operational reality of a company still burning cash. ITM Power has cleared a major milestone, but investors are waiting to see whether the new capacity translates into revenue-generating orders.
The funding breakdown
The Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ) is providing a £46.5 million grant, first flagged in April but now formally awarded. Separately, the state-owned Great British Energy is injecting £40 million as a direct equity investment, making it a significant shareholder. Together, the package covers the bulk of the company’s planned £120 million capital expenditure over the next three years, with commercial production targeted for 2028.
CEO Dennis Schulz described the deal as a “decisive step” in positioning ITM Power at the centre of the UK’s hydrogen economy. He drew a parallel with Sheffield’s industrial heritage, remarking that the city – historically known for steel – should become equally synonymous with hydrogen.
What the money will buy
The Chronos line will be installed at the existing Bessemer Park site, drawing on manufacturing processes already proven in the Trident production system developed over the past five years. Investments include automated electrode welding, catalyst-coated membrane production, specialist coatings and cleanroom facilities. The line is designed to achieve an annual capacity of one gigawatt, targeting a step change in both efficiency and cost compared with current electrolyser models.
ITM Power also plans to expand its UK workforce by roughly 250 people over five years, citing expected demand. The government has estimated the broader project could support over 400 jobs in South Yorkshire when construction, manufacturing and the supply chain are included.
The market’s mixed read
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Thursday’s announcement sent the stock sharply higher at the open, with intraday gains exceeding 9%. But by Friday, the rally had evaporated and the share price slipped below Thursday’s close. The reversal underscores the market’s ongoing difficulty in pricing the transition from subsidy announcement to credible production and sales.
Technically, the stock remains in a torn position. It trades 22% below its 50-day moving average of €1.72, but still 25% above the 200-day average of €1.07. The relative strength index sits at a neutral 41.3. Meanwhile, the annualised 30-day volatility of 106% highlights persistent uncertainty.
Despite the short-term wobble, ITM Power has had a strong year. Year-to-date the shares have surged 84.7%, recovering from a February low of €0.65. Over the trailing twelve months, the gain is 35.22% – well off the 52-week peak of €2.58 reached in late May, but still a solid rebound.
Profitability metrics improving – but cash still flowing negative
The funding arrives as ITM Power shows early signs of operational discipline. The company recently raised its revenue guidance for the current financial year to between £40 million and £43 million, citing better project execution. Of the £152 million order book, roughly 71% is now considered profitable – a marked departure from the loss-making legacy contracts that plagued earlier periods.
However, ITM Power continues to report negative operating and free cash flow. The balance sheet remains supported by low debt, and the cash cushion will be further strengthened by the DESNZ grant and Great British Energy stake. The company has revised its cash forecast for fiscal 2026 upward to a range of £210 million to £215 million, compared with a prior estimate of £170 million to £175 million.
Bigger projects in the pipeline
Beyond the Sheffield expansion, ITM Power is gaining traction on large-scale industrial projects, including a 200-megawatt electrolyser plant in Lingen, Germany, for RWE. The standardised ALPHA 50 and Neptune V systems, together with the forthcoming Chronos platform, are designed to meet the demands of massive hydrogen projects in the UK and Europe.
The funding removes a headline risk for ITM Power. The next test – whether it can fill that gigawatt line with profitable orders – remains unresolved. Friday’s price action suggests the market is reserving judgment until that question is answered.
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