Intel’s recent moves read like a two-act drama: one part financial engineering, one part branding blitz. By reclaiming full control of Fab 34 in Ireland and plastering its logo on a Formula 1 car, the chipmaker is betting that operational muscle and marketing glamour can finally convince investors — and customers — that its foundry pivot is real. But as the stock swings violently from 52-week highs, the market is demanding more than headlines.
The headline deal came this week with the $14.2 billion repurchase of the 49% stake in Fab 34 in Leixlip, Ireland, previously held by Apollo Global Management funds. Intel funded the transaction with cash and new debt, calling it “significantly accretive” to earnings per share. The facility houses Intel’s critical 18A and Intel 3 process nodes, the technological backbone of the foundry strategy. Regaining full ownership gives the company tighter control over production planning and capital allocation — a signal to potential clients that capacity won’t be hostage to outside investors.
That confidence is underpinned by first-quarter numbers that surprised to the upside. Non-GAAP revenue reached $13.6 billion, above the midpoint of Intel’s own guidance, while adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.29, well above break-even. Growth was concentrated in core segments: Data Center and AI revenue jumped 22% to $5.1 billion, and Intel Foundry rose 16% to $5.4 billion. On a GAAP basis, however, the company still posted a $3.7 billion loss, underscoring the cost of the transformation. For the second quarter, Intel forecasts revenue in a range of $13.8 billion to $14.8 billion, with an adjusted gross margin near 39%.
The improvement has not healed the rift on Wall Street. Lynx Equity set a Street-high price target of $175 on May 13, 2026, citing a preliminary manufacturing agreement with Apple. Others followed but stayed more measured: Benchmark Co. increased its target to $105 from $76 with a Buy rating, Mizuho went to $124 from $100, and Deutsche Bank’s Ross Seymore lifted his target to $100 from $63, keeping a Hold. Bank of America’s Vivek Arya remained a Sell but raised his target to $96. The wide spread reflects a stock that is no longer being valued as a traditional chipmaker but as a bet on reshored advanced semiconductor manufacturing at scale.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Intel?
At the same time, Intel is returning to Formula 1 after roughly two decades, this time as the official computing partner of the McLaren team. Starting at next weekend’s Montreal Grand Prix, McLaren cars will carry Intel branding across its F1, IndyCar, and esports operations. The partnership goes beyond a sticker: Xeon and Core Ultra processors will handle computational fluid dynamics, aerodynamic modeling, driving simulation, and real-time race strategy — a direct demonstration of Intel’s edge computing capabilities. Financial terms were not disclosed.
Yet the stock suffered Thursday as the market took profits. Trading near €99, Intel shares fell roughly 3% from the prior close and sat nearly 10% below the 52-week high of €110. Year-to-date the stock is still up around 195% (the earlier 198% figure from the primary source is slightly different; the secondary says 195%, which is more recent — use 195% as the latest). Monthly gains exceed 86%, but the relative strength index of 63 suggests the rally has room before overheating. Annualized volatility above 93% underscores how quickly sentiment can shift.
Evercore’s latest data shows Intel’s server CPU market share slipped from 59% to 55% as AMD and Arm gain ground. KeyBanc warns of “buyer exhaustion” and questions whether inflation could cool data center spending. The McLaren partnership gives Intel a global stage for its processor technology, but the race Intel really needs to win is the foundry one — where 18A yields are reportedly ahead of plan, but where new customers must follow to turn a 195% rally into a sustainable turnaround.
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