Vulcan Energy has secured the full financing for its flagship Lionheart lithium project in Germany’s Upper Rhine Valley, a €2.2bn package that includes a €67m equity investment from Siemens. The landmark deal should in theory remove a major overhang for the stock. Instead, the shares are trading just above their 52-week trough, underlining the deep scepticism that still surrounds the company’s ambitious timeline.
At the end of Monday’s session, Vulcan’s shares changed hands at €1.81, a whisker above the one-year low of €1.77. Since the start of 2026, the stock has shed roughly 30%, and from its October 2025 peak of €3.98 the market capitalisation has more than halved. Even a modest recovery on Tuesday — a 1.53% climb to €1.86, powered by a sharp uptick in lithium carbonate futures on the Guangzhou exchange — has done little to change the bearish picture. The relative strength index sits at 36 points, signalling a near-oversold condition, while the share price trades more than 30% below its 200-day moving average.
The irony is that Vulcan is making concrete progress on the ground. Construction of the central lithium conversion plant in Frankfurt began in April 2026. There, the company will use electrolysis to turn lithium chloride into lithium hydroxide, targeting an annual output of 24,000 tonnes from 2028 — enough to supply roughly half a million electric-vehicle batteries. Siemens is not only providing key process technology but has also put its own capital behind the venture, a vote of confidence that the broader equity market has so far ignored.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Vulcan Energy?
The wider geopolitical environment remains supportive. In the US, a bipartisan bill proposes a $2.5bn strategic reserve for lithium, cobalt and rare earths, aimed at breaking China’s grip on the battery supply chain. That push was underscored by recent geological findings in the Appalachian region, where an estimated 2.3m tonnes of recoverable lithium oxide were identified.
Yet for Vulcan, the immediate challenge is execution. The company has laid out a tight schedule to reach commercial production by 2028, a date that will define whether the €2.2bn funding package was a foundation stone or a costly placeholder. Each construction milestone in Frankfurt will now be scrutinised for evidence that the timeline is holding. Until then, the stock is likely to remain hostage to the broader lithium market’s mood swings — and the memory of a 30% year-to-date decline that no single day’s rally can erase.
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